Anthropic holds a commanding lead in trader sentiment for the best Text Arena Math AI model by end of October, driven by its Claude Opus and Fable series models topping the dedicated math leaderboard with strong margins over competitors. Recent autonomous breakthroughs, including formalizing a full computer-checked proof of Fermat’s Last Theorem in 11 days and advancing bounds on the Riemann hypothesis, underscore Claude’s edge in advanced mathematical reasoning, proof generation, and multi-agent problem solving. These capabilities align directly with Text Arena’s competitive text-based math evaluations. Google and OpenAI trail significantly in implied odds, reflecting solid but less dominant benchmark performance on similar frontier math tasks. With roughly five weeks remaining, any new model releases or leaderboard shifts could still influence the outcome before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоУ какой компании лучшая модель ИИ Text Arena Math в конце октября?
Anthropic 71%
Google 11.3%
OpenAI 7%
Alibaba 1.0%
$38,155 Объем
$38,155 Объем

Anthropic
71%

11%

OpenAI
7%

Alibaba
1%

Moonshot
1%

Meta
1%

Xiaomi
1%

SpaceXAI
<1%

Z.ai
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Tencent
<1%

Baidu
<1%

Nvidia
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

Meituan
<1%

Amazon
<1%

StepFun
<1%

Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 71%
Google 11.3%
OpenAI 7%
Alibaba 1.0%
$38,155 Объем
$38,155 Объем

Anthropic
71%

11%

OpenAI
7%

Alibaba
1%

Moonshot
1%

Meta
1%

Xiaomi
1%

SpaceXAI
<1%

Z.ai
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Tencent
<1%

Baidu
<1%

Nvidia
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

Meituan
<1%

Amazon
<1%

StepFun
<1%

Microsoft
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds a commanding lead in trader sentiment for the best Text Arena Math AI model by end of October, driven by its Claude Opus and Fable series models topping the dedicated math leaderboard with strong margins over competitors. Recent autonomous breakthroughs, including formalizing a full computer-checked proof of Fermat’s Last Theorem in 11 days and advancing bounds on the Riemann hypothesis, underscore Claude’s edge in advanced mathematical reasoning, proof generation, and multi-agent problem solving. These capabilities align directly with Text Arena’s competitive text-based math evaluations. Google and OpenAI trail significantly in implied odds, reflecting solid but less dominant benchmark performance on similar frontier math tasks. With roughly five weeks remaining, any new model releases or leaderboard shifts could still influence the outcome before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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