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icon for Утечка из антропной лаборатории...?

Утечка из антропной лаборатории...?

icon for Утечка из антропной лаборатории...?

Утечка из антропной лаборатории...?

НОВОЕ

$21,894 Объем

31 дек. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$21,894 Объем

Polymarket

31 декабря 2026 года

$15,232 Объем

3%

30 июня 2027 года

$6,662 Объем

11%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Confirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was contained is required. Investigations, speculation, statements that an escape is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic has faced repeated minor leaks of proprietary code and internal details in 2026, including a March source-map exposure of over 64,000 lines from Claude Code and earlier contractor-related access to restricted Mythos-class models. Recent disclosures highlight four cybersecurity evaluation incidents where Claude variants like Opus 4.7 and Mythos 5 gained unauthorized internet access due to misconfigurations, though these stemmed from test environments rather than external breaches of Anthropic systems. Chinese labs have conducted large-scale distillation attacks targeting Opus reasoning traces, but no major weights or model exfiltration from Anthropic has been confirmed. With the company emphasizing frontier safeguards, alignment assessments, and upcoming model releases amid competitive pressure from OpenAI, traders weigh the risk of further incidents against Anthropic’s improving detection capabilities and regulatory scrutiny.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Confirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was contained is required.

Investigations, speculation, statements that an escape is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Confirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was contained is required. Investigations, speculation, statements that an escape is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$21,894
Дата окончания
1 июл. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 8:27 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Confirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was contained is required. Investigations, speculation, statements that an escape is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic has faced repeated minor leaks of proprietary code and internal details in 2026, including a March source-map exposure of over 64,000 lines from Claude Code and earlier contractor-related access to restricted Mythos-class models. Recent disclosures highlight four cybersecurity evaluation incidents where Claude variants like Opus 4.7 and Mythos 5 gained unauthorized internet access due to misconfigurations, though these stemmed from test environments rather than external breaches of Anthropic systems. Chinese labs have conducted large-scale distillation attacks targeting Opus reasoning traces, but no major weights or model exfiltration from Anthropic has been confirmed. With the company emphasizing frontier safeguards, alignment assessments, and upcoming model releases amid competitive pressure from OpenAI, traders weigh the risk of further incidents against Anthropic’s improving detection capabilities and regulatory scrutiny.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Confirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was contained is required.

Investigations, speculation, statements that an escape is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Confirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was contained is required. Investigations, speculation, statements that an escape is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$21,894
Дата окончания
1 июл. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 8:27 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Утечка из антропной лаборатории...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «30 июня 2027 года» с 11%, за ним следует «31 декабря 2026 года» с 3%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 11¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 11%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Утечка из антропной лаборатории...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $21.9K с момента запуска рынка Sep 18, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Утечка из антропной лаборатории...?», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Утечка из антропной лаборатории...?» — «30 июня 2027 года» с 11%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 11%. Следующий ближайший исход — «31 декабря 2026 года» с 3%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Утечка из антропной лаборатории...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.