Traders see the next Claude Opus release clustered in late September due to unverified routing rumors pointing to a possible Opus 5.2 launch around September 17–18 or month-end, following the July 24 release of Opus 5 and the September 1 arrival of Fable 5.1. Anthropic has issued no official announcement, model card, or API update, leaving probabilities tightly bunched as participants weigh the lab’s recent cadence of iterative Opus upgrades against the absence of confirmed benchmarks or developer access. Key swing factors include any sudden safety-classifier or platform changes that could signal an imminent drop, with the 14.5% chance of no release by September 30 capturing skepticism over rapid turnaround.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСледующий Клод Опус выпущен на...?
Следующий Клод Опус выпущен на...?
25 сентября 16%
30 сентября 14%
24 сентября 13%
Не будет релиза к 30 сентября 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 сент. 2026 г.
17 сентября
3%
18 сентября
6%
19 сентября
1%
20 сентября
5%
21 сентября
9%
22 сентября
10%
23 сентября
8%
24 сентября
13%
25 сентября
16%
26 сентября
4%
27 сентября
4%
28 сентября
7%
29 сентября
7%
30 сентября
14%
Не будет релиза к 30 сентября
12%
25 сентября 16%
30 сентября 14%
24 сентября 13%
Не будет релиза к 30 сентября 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 сент. 2026 г.
17 сентября
$478 Объем
3%
18 сентября
$39 Объем
6%
19 сентября
$486 Объем
1%
20 сентября
$507 Объем
5%
21 сентября
$39 Объем
9%
22 сентября
$39 Объем
10%
23 сентября
$58 Объем
8%
24 сентября
$119 Объем
13%
25 сентября
$60 Объем
16%
26 сентября
$486 Объем
4%
27 сентября
$486 Объем
4%
28 сентября
$58 Объем
7%
29 сентября
$102 Объем
7%
30 сентября
$139 Объем
14%
Не будет релиза к 30 сентября
$139 Объем
12%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Traders see the next Claude Opus release clustered in late September due to unverified routing rumors pointing to a possible Opus 5.2 launch around September 17–18 or month-end, following the July 24 release of Opus 5 and the September 1 arrival of Fable 5.1. Anthropic has issued no official announcement, model card, or API update, leaving probabilities tightly bunched as participants weigh the lab’s recent cadence of iterative Opus upgrades against the absence of confirmed benchmarks or developer access. Key swing factors include any sudden safety-classifier or platform changes that could signal an imminent drop, with the 14.5% chance of no release by September 30 capturing skepticism over rapid turnaround.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
Объем
$3,387Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Traders see the next Claude Opus release clustered in late September due to unverified routing rumors pointing to a possible Opus 5.2 launch around September 17–18 or month-end, following the July 24 release of Opus 5 and the September 1 arrival of Fable 5.1. Anthropic has issued no official announcement, model card, or API update, leaving probabilities tightly bunched as participants weigh the lab’s recent cadence of iterative Opus upgrades against the absence of confirmed benchmarks or developer access. Key swing factors include any sudden safety-classifier or platform changes that could signal an imminent drop, with the 14.5% chance of no release by September 30 capturing skepticism over rapid turnaround.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$3,387Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the next Claude Opus release clustered in late September due to unverified routing rumors pointing to a possible Opus 5.2 launch around September 17–18 or month-end, following the July 24 release of Opus 5 and the September 1 arrival of Fable 5.1. Anthropic has issued no official announcement, model card, or API update, leaving probabilities tightly bunched as participants weigh the lab’s recent cadence of iterative Opus upgrades against the absence of confirmed benchmarks or developer access. Key swing factors include any sudden safety-classifier or platform changes that could signal an imminent drop, with the 14.5% chance of no release by September 30 capturing skepticism over rapid turnaround.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы