Anthropic’s IPO market-cap odds cluster tightly around the $2.0–2.5 trillion range because public investors are being asked to underwrite a valuation more than double the company’s $965 billion May 2026 post-money price on the strength of revenue that has scaled from a $9 billion run rate at year-end 2025 to $65 billion annualized by July 2026. Bankers have discussed a $100 billion-plus raise at up to $2 trillion, supported by 2028 revenue targets near $190–200 billion and secondary trading already implying $1.1–1.2 trillion. The narrow spread between the top two buckets reflects uncertainty over whether gross-margin expansion and operating leverage will justify the multiple once the S-1 is released after Labor Day and marketing begins in mid-October, versus risks from competition, compute costs, and execution on the first quarterly profit guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$2.0–$2.25T 21.9%
$2.25–$2.5T 22%
$1.75–$2.0T 19%
$2.5–$2.75T 16.1%
$673,206 Объем
$673,206 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
<$1.25T
1%
$1.25–$1.5T
1%
$1.5–$1.75T
7%
$1.75–$2.0T
19%
$2.0–$2.25T
22%
$2.25–$2.5T
22%
$2.5–$2.75T
16%
$2.75–$3.0T
4%
$3.0T+
7%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
1%
$2.0–$2.25T 21.9%
$2.25–$2.5T 22%
$1.75–$2.0T 19%
$2.5–$2.75T 16.1%
$673,206 Объем
$673,206 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
<$1.25T
$82,745 Объем
1%
$1.25–$1.5T
$77,009 Объем
1%
$1.5–$1.75T
$97,962 Объем
7%
$1.75–$2.0T
$71,984 Объем
19%
$2.0–$2.25T
$90,782 Объем
22%
$2.25–$2.5T
$62,217 Объем
22%
$2.5–$2.75T
$63,671 Объем
16%
$2.75–$3.0T
$33,406 Объем
4%
$3.0T+
$48,728 Объем
7%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$44,703 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s IPO market-cap odds cluster tightly around the $2.0–2.5 trillion range because public investors are being asked to underwrite a valuation more than double the company’s $965 billion May 2026 post-money price on the strength of revenue that has scaled from a $9 billion run rate at year-end 2025 to $65 billion annualized by July 2026. Bankers have discussed a $100 billion-plus raise at up to $2 trillion, supported by 2028 revenue targets near $190–200 billion and secondary trading already implying $1.1–1.2 trillion. The narrow spread between the top two buckets reflects uncertainty over whether gross-margin expansion and operating leverage will justify the multiple once the S-1 is released after Labor Day and marketing begins in mid-October, versus risks from competition, compute costs, and execution on the first quarterly profit guidance.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Объем
$673,206Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s IPO market-cap odds cluster tightly around the $2.0–2.5 trillion range because public investors are being asked to underwrite a valuation more than double the company’s $965 billion May 2026 post-money price on the strength of revenue that has scaled from a $9 billion run rate at year-end 2025 to $65 billion annualized by July 2026. Bankers have discussed a $100 billion-plus raise at up to $2 trillion, supported by 2028 revenue targets near $190–200 billion and secondary trading already implying $1.1–1.2 trillion. The narrow spread between the top two buckets reflects uncertainty over whether gross-margin expansion and operating leverage will justify the multiple once the S-1 is released after Labor Day and marketing begins in mid-October, versus risks from competition, compute costs, and execution on the first quarterly profit guidance.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$673,206Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s IPO market-cap odds cluster tightly around the $2.0–2.5 trillion range because public investors are being asked to underwrite a valuation more than double the company’s $965 billion May 2026 post-money price on the strength of revenue that has scaled from a $9 billion run rate at year-end 2025 to $65 billion annualized by July 2026. Bankers have discussed a $100 billion-plus raise at up to $2 trillion, supported by 2028 revenue targets near $190–200 billion and secondary trading already implying $1.1–1.2 trillion. The narrow spread between the top two buckets reflects uncertainty over whether gross-margin expansion and operating leverage will justify the multiple once the S-1 is released after Labor Day and marketing begins in mid-October, versus risks from competition, compute costs, and execution on the first quarterly profit guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Будет ли рыночная капитализация Anthropic составлять 600 млрд долларов США или больше к моменту закрытия рынка в день IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года?
96%
Да
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
86%
IPO Anthropic закроется с рыночной капитализацией выше $1,5 трлн?
95%
Да
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