Moonshot AI's scaled Agent Swarm architecture and Kimi K3 model's strong agentic benchmarks, including parallel sub-agent orchestration up to 300 instances and 4,000-step workflows, anchor trader consensus at 86.8% implied probability for third place on the arena.ai leaderboard by September 30. The July 2026 open-weights release of the 2.8-trillion-parameter K3, followed by September desktop integrations and direct finance data hooks, has accelerated adoption signals in cost-sensitive agent tasks relative to higher-priced Western alternatives. While OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google maintain frontier model leads, their recent agent API and personal-agent updates have not shifted the crowded middle tier enough to displace Moonshot in the final days before resolution. Low single-digit odds on most other labs reflect limited near-term catalysts that could reorder standings before month-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоТретья лучшая лаборатория ИИ-агентов в конце сентября?
Третья лучшая лаборатория ИИ-агентов в конце сентября?
Moonshot 86.8%
Z.ai 5.1%
Google 3.4%
Meta 3.4%
$54,098 Объем
$54,098 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
Moonshot
87%
Z.ai
5%
3%
Meta
3%
DeepSeek
3%
Mistral
3%
SpaceXAI
3%
Anthropic
2%
Alibaba
2%
OpenAI
2%
Amazon
1%
Nvidia
1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Baidu
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Moonshot 86.8%
Z.ai 5.1%
Google 3.4%
Meta 3.4%
$54,098 Объем
$54,098 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
Moonshot
$34,493 Объем
87%
Z.ai
$2,812 Объем
5%
$482 Объем
3%
Meta
$409 Объем
3%
DeepSeek
$471 Объем
3%
Mistral
$610 Объем
3%
SpaceXAI
$584 Объем
3%
Anthropic
$2,459 Объем
2%
Alibaba
$1,087 Объем
2%
OpenAI
$7,320 Объем
2%
Amazon
$414 Объем
1%
Nvidia
$470 Объем
1%
Xiaomi
$388 Объем
<1%
Baidu
$609 Объем
<1%
MiniMax
$373 Объем
<1%
ByteDance
$393 Объем
<1%
Microsoft
$408 Объем
<1%
Meituan
$318 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Moonshot AI's scaled Agent Swarm architecture and Kimi K3 model's strong agentic benchmarks, including parallel sub-agent orchestration up to 300 instances and 4,000-step workflows, anchor trader consensus at 86.8% implied probability for third place on the arena.ai leaderboard by September 30. The July 2026 open-weights release of the 2.8-trillion-parameter K3, followed by September desktop integrations and direct finance data hooks, has accelerated adoption signals in cost-sensitive agent tasks relative to higher-priced Western alternatives. While OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google maintain frontier model leads, their recent agent API and personal-agent updates have not shifted the crowded middle tier enough to displace Moonshot in the final days before resolution. Low single-digit odds on most other labs reflect limited near-term catalysts that could reorder standings before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Объем
$54,098Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Moonshot AI's scaled Agent Swarm architecture and Kimi K3 model's strong agentic benchmarks, including parallel sub-agent orchestration up to 300 instances and 4,000-step workflows, anchor trader consensus at 86.8% implied probability for third place on the arena.ai leaderboard by September 30. The July 2026 open-weights release of the 2.8-trillion-parameter K3, followed by September desktop integrations and direct finance data hooks, has accelerated adoption signals in cost-sensitive agent tasks relative to higher-priced Western alternatives. While OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google maintain frontier model leads, their recent agent API and personal-agent updates have not shifted the crowded middle tier enough to displace Moonshot in the final days before resolution. Low single-digit odds on most other labs reflect limited near-term catalysts that could reorder standings before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Объем
$54,098Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Moonshot AI's scaled Agent Swarm architecture and Kimi K3 model's strong agentic benchmarks, including parallel sub-agent orchestration up to 300 instances and 4,000-step workflows, anchor trader consensus at 86.8% implied probability for third place on the arena.ai leaderboard by September 30. The July 2026 open-weights release of the 2.8-trillion-parameter K3, followed by September desktop integrations and direct finance data hooks, has accelerated adoption signals in cost-sensitive agent tasks relative to higher-priced Western alternatives. While OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google maintain frontier model leads, their recent agent API and personal-agent updates have not shifted the crowded middle tier enough to displace Moonshot in the final days before resolution. Low single-digit odds on most other labs reflect limited near-term catalysts that could reorder standings before month-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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