Anthropic holds the strongest market-implied odds at 41.4% for the best Text Arena Math model by end of November, driven by Claude Opus and Fable variants topping recent arena.ai math leaderboards with Elo scores above 1530. This edge stems from September 2026 demonstrations of advanced formal reasoning, including Claude's computer-verified formalization of Fermat’s last theorem and progress on long-standing problems like the Riemann hypothesis. OpenAI and Google trail at 17.5% each, reflecting competitive but lower arena rankings despite their own advances in agentic math solving and high AIME/GPQA scores. The 45-55% range across many outcomes highlights ongoing uncertainty, as new model releases or benchmark updates through November could shift relative positioning among frontier labs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоУ какой компании лучшая модель искусственного интеллекта Text Arena Math в конце ноября?
У какой компании лучшая модель искусственного интеллекта Text Arena Math в конце ноября?
Anthropic 39.1%
Google 18%
OpenAI 18%
Z.ai 6.8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
Anthropic
39%
18%
OpenAI
18%
Z.ai
7%
ByteDance
6%
Nvidia
4%
Meituan
4%
Moonshot
2%
Alibaba
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Microsoft
1%
Baidu
1%
Xiaomi
1%
Meta
1%
MiniMax
1%
Amazon
1%
Mistral
1%
Tencent
1%
StepFun
1%
Thinky
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Anthropic 39.1%
Google 18%
OpenAI 18%
Z.ai 6.8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
Anthropic
$2,535 Объем
39%
$1,240 Объем
18%
OpenAI
$1,112 Объем
18%
Z.ai
$173 Объем
7%
ByteDance
$379 Объем
6%
Nvidia
$479 Объем
4%
Meituan
$1,346 Объем
4%
Moonshot
$115 Объем
2%
Alibaba
$100 Объем
1%
SpaceXAI
$121 Объем
1%
Microsoft
$129 Объем
1%
Baidu
$133 Объем
1%
Xiaomi
$133 Объем
1%
Meta
$133 Объем
1%
MiniMax
$133 Объем
1%
Amazon
$148 Объем
1%
Mistral
$165 Объем
1%
Tencent
$120 Объем
1%
StepFun
$133 Объем
1%
Thinky
$133 Объем
1%
DeepSeek
$133 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds the strongest market-implied odds at 41.4% for the best Text Arena Math model by end of November, driven by Claude Opus and Fable variants topping recent arena.ai math leaderboards with Elo scores above 1530. This edge stems from September 2026 demonstrations of advanced formal reasoning, including Claude's computer-verified formalization of Fermat’s last theorem and progress on long-standing problems like the Riemann hypothesis. OpenAI and Google trail at 17.5% each, reflecting competitive but lower arena rankings despite their own advances in agentic math solving and high AIME/GPQA scores. The 45-55% range across many outcomes highlights ongoing uncertainty, as new model releases or benchmark updates through November could shift relative positioning among frontier labs.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
Объем
$9,092Дата окончания
1 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds the strongest market-implied odds at 41.4% for the best Text Arena Math model by end of November, driven by Claude Opus and Fable variants topping recent arena.ai math leaderboards with Elo scores above 1530. This edge stems from September 2026 demonstrations of advanced formal reasoning, including Claude's computer-verified formalization of Fermat’s last theorem and progress on long-standing problems like the Riemann hypothesis. OpenAI and Google trail at 17.5% each, reflecting competitive but lower arena rankings despite their own advances in agentic math solving and high AIME/GPQA scores. The 45-55% range across many outcomes highlights ongoing uncertainty, as new model releases or benchmark updates through November could shift relative positioning among frontier labs.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Объем
$9,092Дата окончания
1 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds the strongest market-implied odds at 41.4% for the best Text Arena Math model by end of November, driven by Claude Opus and Fable variants topping recent arena.ai math leaderboards with Elo scores above 1530. This edge stems from September 2026 demonstrations of advanced formal reasoning, including Claude's computer-verified formalization of Fermat’s last theorem and progress on long-standing problems like the Riemann hypothesis. OpenAI and Google trail at 17.5% each, reflecting competitive but lower arena rankings despite their own advances in agentic math solving and high AIME/GPQA scores. The 45-55% range across many outcomes highlights ongoing uncertainty, as new model releases or benchmark updates through November could shift relative positioning among frontier labs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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