The tight contest for second place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate election reflects the clustered polling among the leading contenders. A late-August Quaest survey showed Teresa Surita (MDB) at 19%, Nicoletti (PL) at 17%, and Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 16% in combined first- and second-choice voting, all within the margin of error, while Chico Rodrigues (PSB) trailed at 11% and spontaneous recognition left 67% undecided. With voters casting two ballots for the two available seats and a fragmented field of 13 candidates, modest shifts in turnout, consolidation of undecided voters, or last-minute alliances can readily reorder the second-place finish. Trader pricing mirrors this uncertainty, with Nicoletti holding the highest implied probability for second among the top trio.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNicoletti 48.8%
Teresa Surita 26%
Helena da Asatur 20.0%
Helio Bolsonaro 5.1%
$62,624 Объем
$62,624 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Nicoletti
46%
Teresa Surita
26%
Helena da Asatur
20%
Helio Bolsonaro
5%
Chico Rodrigues
3%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Mario Rocha
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Nicoletti 48.8%
Teresa Surita 26%
Helena da Asatur 20.0%
Helio Bolsonaro 5.1%
$62,624 Объем
$62,624 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Nicoletti
$11,204 Объем
46%
Teresa Surita
$18,485 Объем
26%
Helena da Asatur
$4,672 Объем
20%
Helio Bolsonaro
$9,065 Объем
5%
Chico Rodrigues
$13,612 Объем
3%
Pastor Isamar
$952 Объем
<1%
Mario Rocha
$810 Объем
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
$581 Объем
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$529 Объем
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$569 Объем
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$676 Объем
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$887 Объем
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$583 Объем
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest for second place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate election reflects the clustered polling among the leading contenders. A late-August Quaest survey showed Teresa Surita (MDB) at 19%, Nicoletti (PL) at 17%, and Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 16% in combined first- and second-choice voting, all within the margin of error, while Chico Rodrigues (PSB) trailed at 11% and spontaneous recognition left 67% undecided. With voters casting two ballots for the two available seats and a fragmented field of 13 candidates, modest shifts in turnout, consolidation of undecided voters, or last-minute alliances can readily reorder the second-place finish. Trader pricing mirrors this uncertainty, with Nicoletti holding the highest implied probability for second among the top trio.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Объем
$62,624Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest for second place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate election reflects the clustered polling among the leading contenders. A late-August Quaest survey showed Teresa Surita (MDB) at 19%, Nicoletti (PL) at 17%, and Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 16% in combined first- and second-choice voting, all within the margin of error, while Chico Rodrigues (PSB) trailed at 11% and spontaneous recognition left 67% undecided. With voters casting two ballots for the two available seats and a fragmented field of 13 candidates, modest shifts in turnout, consolidation of undecided voters, or last-minute alliances can readily reorder the second-place finish. Trader pricing mirrors this uncertainty, with Nicoletti holding the highest implied probability for second among the top trio.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$62,624Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The tight contest for second place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate election reflects the clustered polling among the leading contenders. A late-August Quaest survey showed Teresa Surita (MDB) at 19%, Nicoletti (PL) at 17%, and Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 16% in combined first- and second-choice voting, all within the margin of error, while Chico Rodrigues (PSB) trailed at 11% and spontaneous recognition left 67% undecided. With voters casting two ballots for the two available seats and a fragmented field of 13 candidates, modest shifts in turnout, consolidation of undecided voters, or last-minute alliances can readily reorder the second-place finish. Trader pricing mirrors this uncertainty, with Nicoletti holding the highest implied probability for second among the top trio.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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