**Delegado André David, Rogério Carvalho, and André Moura lead the fragmented field for second place in Sergipe’s October 4 Senate election, where voters select two candidates for the state’s two seats.** Recent polls, including Quaest (late August) and CTAS/INOR (September), show these names clustered in the low-to-mid teens in stimulated scenarios, with high undecided shares (often 20%+) and technical ties among five or more contenders. Eduardo Amorim and Delegado Alessandro trail but remain within striking distance in some surveys. The two-vote structure and ongoing campaign events, such as recent interview cancellations by leading figures, keep second-place positioning fluid as coalitions and turnout patterns finalize ahead of the first-round vote. Trader consensus assigns roughly 30% probability to André David for second, followed closely by Rogério Carvalho, reflecting the narrow margins and lack of a settled hierarchy.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРожерио Карвалью 28%
Делегаду Андре Давид 26.4%
Андре Мора 20%
Эдуардо Аморим 13%
$30,498 Объем
$30,498 Объем

Рожерио Карвалью
28%

Делегаду Андре Давид
18%

Андре Мора
20%

Эдуардо Аморим
13%

Родриго Валадарес
2%

Делегадо Алессандро
1%

Эдвалду
1%

Паулиньо да Униан Тур
<1%

Ренатинья
<1%

Коронел Роша
<1%

Иран Барбоза
<1%
Рожерио Карвалью 28%
Делегаду Андре Давид 26.4%
Андре Мора 20%
Эдуардо Аморим 13%
$30,498 Объем
$30,498 Объем

Рожерио Карвалью
28%

Делегаду Андре Давид
18%

Андре Мора
20%

Эдуардо Аморим
13%

Родриго Валадарес
2%

Делегадо Алессандро
1%

Эдвалду
1%

Паулиньо да Униан Тур
<1%

Ренатинья
<1%

Коронел Роша
<1%

Иран Барбоза
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Delegado André David, Rogério Carvalho, and André Moura lead the fragmented field for second place in Sergipe’s October 4 Senate election, where voters select two candidates for the state’s two seats.** Recent polls, including Quaest (late August) and CTAS/INOR (September), show these names clustered in the low-to-mid teens in stimulated scenarios, with high undecided shares (often 20%+) and technical ties among five or more contenders. Eduardo Amorim and Delegado Alessandro trail but remain within striking distance in some surveys. The two-vote structure and ongoing campaign events, such as recent interview cancellations by leading figures, keep second-place positioning fluid as coalitions and turnout patterns finalize ahead of the first-round vote. Trader consensus assigns roughly 30% probability to André David for second, followed closely by Rogério Carvalho, reflecting the narrow margins and lack of a settled hierarchy.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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