**Google's Gemini 3 series, particularly the 3.8 Flash and 3.1 Pro variants, has driven strong positioning in the Text Arena mathematical category on platforms like lmarena.ai, placing the lab as the clear market favorite for second place by end of September 2026 at 86.5% implied probability.** Recent benchmark snapshots show multiple Gemini models clustering near the top behind leading Anthropic Claude Opus and Fable variants, with high arena scores in math-focused text evaluations that reward reasoning, problem-solving, and competitive performance. This reflects Google's iterative releases and optimizations in large language model capabilities over the past month, including strong results on math-vision and competition-style tasks that align with arena dynamics. In contrast, OpenAI (6.3%), Anthropic (4.5%), and others like Meta, Alibaba, or Moonshot remain low-probability for second place, as their top models either lead outright or trail in the specific Text Arena math leaderboard. With resolution imminent, traders appear to view Google's recent model updates and consistent high rankings as the decisive factor locking in the current sentiment, though last-minute releases or leaderboard shifts could still introduce volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоSecond-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
Google 87%
OpenAI 6.5%
Anthropic 3.4%
Meta 2.7%
$61,119 Объем
$61,119 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
87%
OpenAI
6%
Anthropic
3%
Meta
3%
Moonshot
2%
Alibaba
2%
Z.ai
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Baidu
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Google 87%
OpenAI 6.5%
Anthropic 3.4%
Meta 2.7%
$61,119 Объем
$61,119 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
$20,386 Объем
87%
OpenAI
$6,978 Объем
6%
Anthropic
$7,789 Объем
3%
Meta
$1,620 Объем
3%
Moonshot
$1,803 Объем
2%
Alibaba
$5,827 Объем
2%
Z.ai
$1,741 Объем
1%
SpaceXAI
$1,332 Объем
1%
Baidu
$1,368 Объем
<1%
ByteDance
$1,482 Объем
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,689 Объем
<1%
DeepSeek
$1,272 Объем
<1%
Tencent
$1,302 Объем
<1%
Nvidia
$766 Объем
<1%
MiniMax
$1,063 Объем
<1%
Meituan
$1,044 Объем
<1%
Amazon
$951 Объем
<1%
Mistral
$1,228 Объем
<1%
StepFun
$566 Объем
<1%
Microsoft
$910 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Google's Gemini 3 series, particularly the 3.8 Flash and 3.1 Pro variants, has driven strong positioning in the Text Arena mathematical category on platforms like lmarena.ai, placing the lab as the clear market favorite for second place by end of September 2026 at 86.5% implied probability.**
Recent benchmark snapshots show multiple Gemini models clustering near the top behind leading Anthropic Claude Opus and Fable variants, with high arena scores in math-focused text evaluations that reward reasoning, problem-solving, and competitive performance. This reflects Google's iterative releases and optimizations in large language model capabilities over the past month, including strong results on math-vision and competition-style tasks that align with arena dynamics.
In contrast, OpenAI (6.3%), Anthropic (4.5%), and others like Meta, Alibaba, or Moonshot remain low-probability for second place, as their top models either lead outright or trail in the specific Text Arena math leaderboard. With resolution imminent, traders appear to view Google's recent model updates and consistent high rankings as the decisive factor locking in the current sentiment, though last-minute releases or leaderboard shifts could still introduce volatility.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Открытие рынка: Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Объем
$61,119Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Google's Gemini 3 series, particularly the 3.8 Flash and 3.1 Pro variants, has driven strong positioning in the Text Arena mathematical category on platforms like lmarena.ai, placing the lab as the clear market favorite for second place by end of September 2026 at 86.5% implied probability.**
Recent benchmark snapshots show multiple Gemini models clustering near the top behind leading Anthropic Claude Opus and Fable variants, with high arena scores in math-focused text evaluations that reward reasoning, problem-solving, and competitive performance. This reflects Google's iterative releases and optimizations in large language model capabilities over the past month, including strong results on math-vision and competition-style tasks that align with arena dynamics.
In contrast, OpenAI (6.3%), Anthropic (4.5%), and others like Meta, Alibaba, or Moonshot remain low-probability for second place, as their top models either lead outright or trail in the specific Text Arena math leaderboard. With resolution imminent, traders appear to view Google's recent model updates and consistent high rankings as the decisive factor locking in the current sentiment, though last-minute releases or leaderboard shifts could still introduce volatility.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Объем
$61,119Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Google's Gemini 3 series, particularly the 3.8 Flash and 3.1 Pro variants, has driven strong positioning in the Text Arena mathematical category on platforms like lmarena.ai, placing the lab as the clear market favorite for second place by end of September 2026 at 86.5% implied probability.** Recent benchmark snapshots show multiple Gemini models clustering near the top behind leading Anthropic Claude Opus and Fable variants, with high arena scores in math-focused text evaluations that reward reasoning, problem-solving, and competitive performance. This reflects Google's iterative releases and optimizations in large language model capabilities over the past month, including strong results on math-vision and competition-style tasks that align with arena dynamics. In contrast, OpenAI (6.3%), Anthropic (4.5%), and others like Meta, Alibaba, or Moonshot remain low-probability for second place, as their top models either lead outright or trail in the specific Text Arena math leaderboard. With resolution imminent, traders appear to view Google's recent model updates and consistent high rankings as the decisive factor locking in the current sentiment, though last-minute releases or leaderboard shifts could still introduce volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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