Recent polling from institutes including Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading overall intentions for one of Pernambuco’s two Senate seats, while Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) remain closely bunched in the contest for second place. High undecided and blank/null shares (often exceeding 20%) sustain volatility in the second-vote distribution, as each elector selects two candidates. Coalition alignments tied to Governor Raquel Lyra’s base and the Popular Front further fragment support across parties. With the October 4 election weeks away, late shifts in turnout or endorsements could alter the ordering among these contenders, consistent with current trader pricing that places Costa narrowly ahead of Mendonça for second.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоУмберто Коста 43%
Мендонса Фильо 35%
Марилия Аррайс 25.0%
Тулиу Гаделья 5.5%
$33,924 Объем
$33,924 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Умберто Коста
49%
Мендонса Фильо
35%
Марилия Аррайс
20%
Тулиу Гаделья
5%
Эдуардо да Фонте
4%
Мариано Маседо
<1%
Самуэль Тимотео
<1%
Пастор Жилван Коста
<1%
Карлос Сант'Анна
<1%
Горетт Биту
<1%
Майлсон да Силва Нето
<1%
Пауло Рубен Сантьяго
<1%
Умберто Коста 43%
Мендонса Фильо 35%
Марилия Аррайс 25.0%
Тулиу Гаделья 5.5%
$33,924 Объем
$33,924 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Умберто Коста
$10,817 Объем
49%
Мендонса Фильо
$9,361 Объем
35%
Марилия Аррайс
$5,925 Объем
20%
Тулиу Гаделья
$1,483 Объем
5%
Эдуардо да Фонте
$1,727 Объем
4%
Мариано Маседо
$807 Объем
<1%
Самуэль Тимотео
$851 Объем
<1%
Пастор Жилван Коста
$909 Объем
<1%
Карлос Сант'Анна
$494 Объем
<1%
Горетт Биту
$629 Объем
<1%
Майлсон да Силва Нето
$433 Объем
<1%
Пауло Рубен Сантьяго
$490 Объем
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes including Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading overall intentions for one of Pernambuco’s two Senate seats, while Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) remain closely bunched in the contest for second place. High undecided and blank/null shares (often exceeding 20%) sustain volatility in the second-vote distribution, as each elector selects two candidates. Coalition alignments tied to Governor Raquel Lyra’s base and the Popular Front further fragment support across parties. With the October 4 election weeks away, late shifts in turnout or endorsements could alter the ordering among these contenders, consistent with current trader pricing that places Costa narrowly ahead of Mendonça for second.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Объем
$33,924Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes including Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading overall intentions for one of Pernambuco’s two Senate seats, while Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) remain closely bunched in the contest for second place. High undecided and blank/null shares (often exceeding 20%) sustain volatility in the second-vote distribution, as each elector selects two candidates. Coalition alignments tied to Governor Raquel Lyra’s base and the Popular Front further fragment support across parties. With the October 4 election weeks away, late shifts in turnout or endorsements could alter the ordering among these contenders, consistent with current trader pricing that places Costa narrowly ahead of Mendonça for second.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$33,924Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from institutes including Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading overall intentions for one of Pernambuco’s two Senate seats, while Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) remain closely bunched in the contest for second place. High undecided and blank/null shares (often exceeding 20%) sustain volatility in the second-vote distribution, as each elector selects two candidates. Coalition alignments tied to Governor Raquel Lyra’s base and the Popular Front further fragment support across parties. With the October 4 election weeks away, late shifts in turnout or endorsements could alter the ordering among these contenders, consistent with current trader pricing that places Costa narrowly ahead of Mendonça for second.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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