Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil), the former mayor of Mossoró, leads the Rio Grande do Norte governor race with consistent polling advantages of 30–42% in late August and early September surveys, reflecting broad regional support outside the capital and a large coalition. Álvaro Dias (PL), ex-mayor of Natal, and Cadu Xavier (PT), the former state finance secretary backed by President Lula, trail in the low-to-mid 20s or below in most recent estimates, producing technical ties or larger gaps depending on the poll. Minor candidates register negligible support. With the first round scheduled for October 4 and the incumbent term-limited, traders price Allyson highest due to her sustained lead in voter intention data and campaign momentum on issues such as health infrastructure and public security. A runoff remains possible if no candidate secures a first-round majority.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAllyson 60%
Cadu de Lula 20%
Álvaro Dias 12%
Professor Roberio Paulino <1%
$20,732 Vol.
$20,732 Vol.
4 out 2026
Allyson
60%
Cadu de Lula
20%
Álvaro Dias
12%
Professor Roberio Paulino
<1%
Rodrigo Bolsonaro
<1%
Arinalda do MLB
<1%
Carlos Jararaca
<1%
Dário Barbosa
<1%
Henrique Lyra
<1%
Allyson 60%
Cadu de Lula 20%
Álvaro Dias 12%
Professor Roberio Paulino <1%
$20,732 Vol.
$20,732 Vol.
4 out 2026
Allyson
$8,838 Vol.
60%
Cadu de Lula
$6,417 Vol.
20%
Álvaro Dias
$1,815 Vol.
12%
Professor Roberio Paulino
$698 Vol.
<1%
Rodrigo Bolsonaro
$671 Vol.
<1%
Arinalda do MLB
$556 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Jararaca
$579 Vol.
<1%
Dário Barbosa
$575 Vol.
<1%
Henrique Lyra
$584 Vol.
<1%
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil), the former mayor of Mossoró, leads the Rio Grande do Norte governor race with consistent polling advantages of 30–42% in late August and early September surveys, reflecting broad regional support outside the capital and a large coalition. Álvaro Dias (PL), ex-mayor of Natal, and Cadu Xavier (PT), the former state finance secretary backed by President Lula, trail in the low-to-mid 20s or below in most recent estimates, producing technical ties or larger gaps depending on the poll. Minor candidates register negligible support. With the first round scheduled for October 4 and the incumbent term-limited, traders price Allyson highest due to her sustained lead in voter intention data and campaign momentum on issues such as health infrastructure and public security. A runoff remains possible if no candidate secures a first-round majority.
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
Volume
$20,732Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil), the former mayor of Mossoró, leads the Rio Grande do Norte governor race with consistent polling advantages of 30–42% in late August and early September surveys, reflecting broad regional support outside the capital and a large coalition. Álvaro Dias (PL), ex-mayor of Natal, and Cadu Xavier (PT), the former state finance secretary backed by President Lula, trail in the low-to-mid 20s or below in most recent estimates, producing technical ties or larger gaps depending on the poll. Minor candidates register negligible support. With the first round scheduled for October 4 and the incumbent term-limited, traders price Allyson highest due to her sustained lead in voter intention data and campaign momentum on issues such as health infrastructure and public security. A runoff remains possible if no candidate secures a first-round majority.
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$20,732Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil), the former mayor of Mossoró, leads the Rio Grande do Norte governor race with consistent polling advantages of 30–42% in late August and early September surveys, reflecting broad regional support outside the capital and a large coalition. Álvaro Dias (PL), ex-mayor of Natal, and Cadu Xavier (PT), the former state finance secretary backed by President Lula, trail in the low-to-mid 20s or below in most recent estimates, producing technical ties or larger gaps depending on the poll. Minor candidates register negligible support. With the first round scheduled for October 4 and the incumbent term-limited, traders price Allyson highest due to her sustained lead in voter intention data and campaign momentum on issues such as health infrastructure and public security. A runoff remains possible if no candidate secures a first-round majority.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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