Recent September 2026 polling shows Marília Arraes (PDT) holding a lead for one Senate seat in Pernambuco, leaving a tight contest for second among Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), and Eduardo da Fonte (PP). DataTrends, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data surveys place the top three or four candidates within a few points, often inside margins of error, reflecting overlapping voter bases and substantial undecided or blank responses near 30-40%. The dual-vote format, where each elector selects up to two senators, sustains volatility as preferences shift between the main contenders ahead of the October 4 first round. No major late endorsements or campaign events have yet produced separation among the second-place contenders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHumberto Costa 46%
Mendonça Filho 38%
Marília Arraes 18.4%
Eduardo da Fonte 4.5%
$33,924 Vol.
$33,924 Vol.
4 out 2026
Humberto Costa
46%
Mendonça Filho
38%
Marília Arraes
18%
Eduardo da Fonte
5%
Túlio Gadêlha
3%
Mariano Macedo
<1%
Samuel Timoteo
<1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
<1%
Carlos Sant'Anna
<1%
Gorett Bitu
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
<1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
<1%
Humberto Costa 46%
Mendonça Filho 38%
Marília Arraes 18.4%
Eduardo da Fonte 4.5%
$33,924 Vol.
$33,924 Vol.
4 out 2026
Humberto Costa
$10,817 Vol.
46%
Mendonça Filho
$9,361 Vol.
38%
Marília Arraes
$5,925 Vol.
18%
Eduardo da Fonte
$1,727 Vol.
5%
Túlio Gadêlha
$1,483 Vol.
3%
Mariano Macedo
$807 Vol.
<1%
Samuel Timoteo
$851 Vol.
<1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$909 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$494 Vol.
<1%
Gorett Bitu
$629 Vol.
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$433 Vol.
<1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$490 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent September 2026 polling shows Marília Arraes (PDT) holding a lead for one Senate seat in Pernambuco, leaving a tight contest for second among Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), and Eduardo da Fonte (PP). DataTrends, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data surveys place the top three or four candidates within a few points, often inside margins of error, reflecting overlapping voter bases and substantial undecided or blank responses near 30-40%. The dual-vote format, where each elector selects up to two senators, sustains volatility as preferences shift between the main contenders ahead of the October 4 first round. No major late endorsements or campaign events have yet produced separation among the second-place contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Volume
$33,924Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent September 2026 polling shows Marília Arraes (PDT) holding a lead for one Senate seat in Pernambuco, leaving a tight contest for second among Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), and Eduardo da Fonte (PP). DataTrends, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data surveys place the top three or four candidates within a few points, often inside margins of error, reflecting overlapping voter bases and substantial undecided or blank responses near 30-40%. The dual-vote format, where each elector selects up to two senators, sustains volatility as preferences shift between the main contenders ahead of the October 4 first round. No major late endorsements or campaign events have yet produced separation among the second-place contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$33,924Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent September 2026 polling shows Marília Arraes (PDT) holding a lead for one Senate seat in Pernambuco, leaving a tight contest for second among Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), and Eduardo da Fonte (PP). DataTrends, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data surveys place the top three or four candidates within a few points, often inside margins of error, reflecting overlapping voter bases and substantial undecided or blank responses near 30-40%. The dual-vote format, where each elector selects up to two senators, sustains volatility as preferences shift between the main contenders ahead of the October 4 first round. No major late endorsements or campaign events have yet produced separation among the second-place contenders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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