Recent polling from early September 2026, including surveys by AtlasIntel and Real Time Big Data, shows Helder Barbalho (MDB) maintaining a clear lead in voter intentions for one of Pará's two Senate seats, while Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) holds the strongest position among remaining contenders for the second seat. Éder Mauro's consistent second-place standing in aggregated results, backed by his established profile as a federal deputy and PL candidate, underpins trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. The broader field remains fragmented, with Zequinha Marinho (PODE), Celso Sabino (PDT), and Chicão (UNIÃO) clustered behind within margins of error, and lower support for other registered candidates. The October 4 first-round vote, where each elector selects two senators, continues to shape positioning as undecided voters and second-preference dynamics evolve.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoDelegado Éder Mauro 64%
Zequinha Marinho 24%
Celso Sabino 8%
Helder 5.7%
$24,607 Vol.
$24,607 Vol.
4 out 2026
Delegado Éder Mauro
64%
Zequinha Marinho
24%
Celso Sabino
8%
Helder
6%
Edlaine Rodrigues
3%
Chicão
2%
Breno Guimarães
2%
Conti
2%
Fernanda Lopes
1%
Gizelle Freitas
1%
Willem da Silva
<1%
Delegado Éder Mauro 64%
Zequinha Marinho 24%
Celso Sabino 8%
Helder 5.7%
$24,607 Vol.
$24,607 Vol.
4 out 2026
Delegado Éder Mauro
$13,545 Vol.
64%
Zequinha Marinho
$7,075 Vol.
24%
Celso Sabino
$480 Vol.
8%
Helder
$1,525 Vol.
6%
Edlaine Rodrigues
$551 Vol.
3%
Chicão
$235 Vol.
2%
Breno Guimarães
$240 Vol.
2%
Conti
$272 Vol.
2%
Fernanda Lopes
$208 Vol.
1%
Gizelle Freitas
$266 Vol.
1%
Willem da Silva
$211 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September 2026, including surveys by AtlasIntel and Real Time Big Data, shows Helder Barbalho (MDB) maintaining a clear lead in voter intentions for one of Pará's two Senate seats, while Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) holds the strongest position among remaining contenders for the second seat. Éder Mauro's consistent second-place standing in aggregated results, backed by his established profile as a federal deputy and PL candidate, underpins trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. The broader field remains fragmented, with Zequinha Marinho (PODE), Celso Sabino (PDT), and Chicão (UNIÃO) clustered behind within margins of error, and lower support for other registered candidates. The October 4 first-round vote, where each elector selects two senators, continues to shape positioning as undecided voters and second-preference dynamics evolve.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Volume
$24,607Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September 2026, including surveys by AtlasIntel and Real Time Big Data, shows Helder Barbalho (MDB) maintaining a clear lead in voter intentions for one of Pará's two Senate seats, while Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) holds the strongest position among remaining contenders for the second seat. Éder Mauro's consistent second-place standing in aggregated results, backed by his established profile as a federal deputy and PL candidate, underpins trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. The broader field remains fragmented, with Zequinha Marinho (PODE), Celso Sabino (PDT), and Chicão (UNIÃO) clustered behind within margins of error, and lower support for other registered candidates. The October 4 first-round vote, where each elector selects two senators, continues to shape positioning as undecided voters and second-preference dynamics evolve.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$24,607Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from early September 2026, including surveys by AtlasIntel and Real Time Big Data, shows Helder Barbalho (MDB) maintaining a clear lead in voter intentions for one of Pará's two Senate seats, while Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) holds the strongest position among remaining contenders for the second seat. Éder Mauro's consistent second-place standing in aggregated results, backed by his established profile as a federal deputy and PL candidate, underpins trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. The broader field remains fragmented, with Zequinha Marinho (PODE), Celso Sabino (PDT), and Chicão (UNIÃO) clustered behind within margins of error, and lower support for other registered candidates. The October 4 first-round vote, where each elector selects two senators, continues to shape positioning as undecided voters and second-preference dynamics evolve.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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