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icon for Eleição para o Senado de Minas Gerais: 1º Lugar
Política·Eleições Globais

Eleição para o Senado de Minas Gerais: 1º Lugar

icon for Eleição para o Senado de Minas Gerais: 1º Lugar
Política·Eleições Globais

Eleição para o Senado de Minas Gerais: 1º Lugar

Marília Campos 54%

Aécio Neves 36.0%

Domingos Sávio 5.9%

Carlos Viana 1.8%

Polymarket

$45,076 Vol.

Marília Campos 54%

Aécio Neves 36.0%

Domingos Sávio 5.9%

Carlos Viana 1.8%

Polymarket

$45,076 Vol.

icon for Marília Campos

Marília Campos

$16,378 Vol.

54%

icon for Aécio Neves

Aécio Neves

$4,424 Vol.

36%

icon for Domingos Sávio

Domingos Sávio

$2,246 Vol.

6%

icon for Carlos Viana

Carlos Viana

$8,991 Vol.

2%

icon for Marco Antônio Superman

Marco Antônio Superman

$1,225 Vol.

8%

icon for Marcelo Aro

Marcelo Aro

$3,119 Vol.

1%

icon for Marcelo Heringer

Marcelo Heringer

$1,199 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tião Pessoa

Tião Pessoa

$623 Vol.

<1%

icon for Victória Mello Vic

Victória Mello Vic

$682 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juiz Ramon Moreira

Juiz Ramon Moreira

$627 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ana Luiza do MLB

Ana Luiza do MLB

$546 Vol.

<1%

icon for Arcanjo Pimenta

Arcanjo Pimenta

$536 Vol.

<1%

icon for Áurea Carolina

Áurea Carolina

$1,333 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlin Moura

Carlin Moura

$552 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fidélis Alcântara

Fidélis Alcântara

$648 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gustavo Galassi

Gustavo Galassi

$601 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jordano Metalúrgico

Jordano Metalúrgico

$643 Vol.

<1%

icon for Manoel Carvalho

Manoel Carvalho

$702 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Campos maintains her position as the frontrunner for first place in the Minas Gerais Senate race, supported by consistent leads in recent polls such as Real Time Big Data and Quaest, where she registers 13–21% in consolidated voting intentions ahead of Aécio Neves. Her profile as former Contagem mayor with strong local approval underpins trader pricing, while Aécio’s late August confirmation of candidacy after an initial withdrawal has lifted him to 10–14% and narrowed gaps with Carlos Viana, Domingos Sávio, and Marcelo Aro. Technical ties among multiple contenders persist amid 29% undecided voters and 21% blank or null responses, with the October 4 election still allowing room for shifts from campaign events, alliances, or turnout patterns before final resolution.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$45,076
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Campos maintains her position as the frontrunner for first place in the Minas Gerais Senate race, supported by consistent leads in recent polls such as Real Time Big Data and Quaest, where she registers 13–21% in consolidated voting intentions ahead of Aécio Neves. Her profile as former Contagem mayor with strong local approval underpins trader pricing, while Aécio’s late August confirmation of candidacy after an initial withdrawal has lifted him to 10–14% and narrowed gaps with Carlos Viana, Domingos Sávio, and Marcelo Aro. Technical ties among multiple contenders persist amid 29% undecided voters and 21% blank or null responses, with the October 4 election still allowing room for shifts from campaign events, alliances, or turnout patterns before final resolution.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$45,076
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição para o Senado de Minas Gerais: 1º Lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Marília Campos" at 54%, followed by "Aécio Neves" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eleição para o Senado de Minas Gerais: 1º Lugar" has generated $45.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eleição para o Senado de Minas Gerais: 1º Lugar," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição para o Senado de Minas Gerais: 1º Lugar" is "Marília Campos" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Aécio Neves" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição para o Senado de Minas Gerais: 1º Lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.