Recent polls show Roseana Sarney (MDB) maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat in Maranhão's October 4 contest, leaving a tight contest for second among Weverton Rocha (PDT), André Fufuca (PP), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), and Eliziane Gama (PT). Multiple surveys from August and early September place these four within the margin of error in combined first- and second-preference totals, with high undecided shares and blank/null responses keeping probabilities fluid. Regional voting patterns, coalition support in interior municipalities versus São Luís, and the final stretch of free electoral advertising are the main variables that could separate the contenders before election day. Trader pricing reflects this narrow gap and the potential for late shifts in turnout or preference among the roughly 5.2 million eligible voters.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEleição para o Senado do Maranhão: 2º Lugar
Eleição para o Senado do Maranhão: 2º Lugar
Weverton Rocha 35%
Fufuca 28%
Lahesio Bonfim 22.5%
Roseana Sarney 16%
$34,749 Vol.
$34,749 Vol.
4 out 2026
Weverton Rocha
35%
Fufuca
28%
Lahesio Bonfim
23%
Roseana Sarney
16%
Eliziane Gama
6%
Wilson Leite
1%
Raimundo Moreira
1%
Enilton Rodrigues
<1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
<1%
Simplício Araújo
<1%
Weverton Rocha 35%
Fufuca 28%
Lahesio Bonfim 22.5%
Roseana Sarney 16%
$34,749 Vol.
$34,749 Vol.
4 out 2026
Weverton Rocha
$12,921 Vol.
35%
Fufuca
$5,695 Vol.
28%
Lahesio Bonfim
$2,221 Vol.
23%
Roseana Sarney
$8,242 Vol.
16%
Eliziane Gama
$1,616 Vol.
6%
Wilson Leite
$606 Vol.
1%
Raimundo Moreira
$594 Vol.
1%
Enilton Rodrigues
$661 Vol.
<1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$967 Vol.
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$519 Vol.
<1%
Simplício Araújo
$706 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls show Roseana Sarney (MDB) maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat in Maranhão's October 4 contest, leaving a tight contest for second among Weverton Rocha (PDT), André Fufuca (PP), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), and Eliziane Gama (PT). Multiple surveys from August and early September place these four within the margin of error in combined first- and second-preference totals, with high undecided shares and blank/null responses keeping probabilities fluid. Regional voting patterns, coalition support in interior municipalities versus São Luís, and the final stretch of free electoral advertising are the main variables that could separate the contenders before election day. Trader pricing reflects this narrow gap and the potential for late shifts in turnout or preference among the roughly 5.2 million eligible voters.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Volume
$34,749Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls show Roseana Sarney (MDB) maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat in Maranhão's October 4 contest, leaving a tight contest for second among Weverton Rocha (PDT), André Fufuca (PP), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), and Eliziane Gama (PT). Multiple surveys from August and early September place these four within the margin of error in combined first- and second-preference totals, with high undecided shares and blank/null responses keeping probabilities fluid. Regional voting patterns, coalition support in interior municipalities versus São Luís, and the final stretch of free electoral advertising are the main variables that could separate the contenders before election day. Trader pricing reflects this narrow gap and the potential for late shifts in turnout or preference among the roughly 5.2 million eligible voters.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$34,749Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls show Roseana Sarney (MDB) maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat in Maranhão's October 4 contest, leaving a tight contest for second among Weverton Rocha (PDT), André Fufuca (PP), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), and Eliziane Gama (PT). Multiple surveys from August and early September place these four within the margin of error in combined first- and second-preference totals, with high undecided shares and blank/null responses keeping probabilities fluid. Regional voting patterns, coalition support in interior municipalities versus São Luís, and the final stretch of free electoral advertising are the main variables that could separate the contenders before election day. Trader pricing reflects this narrow gap and the potential for late shifts in turnout or preference among the roughly 5.2 million eligible voters.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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