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icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador do Amazonas
Política·Brasil

Vencedor da eleição para governador do Amazonas

icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador do Amazonas
Política·Brasil

Vencedor da eleição para governador do Amazonas

Omar Aziz 53%

Professora Maria do Carmo 34%

Roberto Cidade 15.0%

Gilberto Vasconcelos <1%

Polymarket

$29,660 Vol.

Omar Aziz 53%

Professora Maria do Carmo 34%

Roberto Cidade 15.0%

Gilberto Vasconcelos <1%

Polymarket

$29,660 Vol.

icon for Omar Aziz

Omar Aziz

$9,911 Vol.

53%

icon for Professora Maria do Carmo

Professora Maria do Carmo

$6,374 Vol.

34%

icon for Roberto Cidade

Roberto Cidade

$5,211 Vol.

15%

icon for Gilberto Vasconcelos

Gilberto Vasconcelos

$2,186 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cabo Daciolo

Cabo Daciolo

$1,959 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Almeida

David Almeida

$2,085 Vol.

<1%

icon for Isael Munduruku

Isael Munduruku

$1,935 Vol.

<1%

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD) holds a narrow edge in trader consensus for the Amazonas governorship, reflecting consistent leads in first-round polling averages from late August and early September that place him in the mid-20s to low-30s percent range ahead of Roberto Cidade (União Brasil), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante). The race remains closely contested because no candidate has approached a first-round majority, positioning it for a likely October 25 runoff where second-round simulations show technical ties or single-digit margins across multiple pairings. Recent candidate interviews and policy exchanges on issues such as public finances, labor rules, and state contracts have not produced decisive shifts, while regional divides between Manaus and the interior continue to influence vote distribution. Late September polling releases or turnout patterns in battleground municipalities could widen or narrow the implied probabilities before the October 4 first-round vote.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$29,660
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD) holds a narrow edge in trader consensus for the Amazonas governorship, reflecting consistent leads in first-round polling averages from late August and early September that place him in the mid-20s to low-30s percent range ahead of Roberto Cidade (União Brasil), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante). The race remains closely contested because no candidate has approached a first-round majority, positioning it for a likely October 25 runoff where second-round simulations show technical ties or single-digit margins across multiple pairings. Recent candidate interviews and policy exchanges on issues such as public finances, labor rules, and state contracts have not produced decisive shifts, while regional divides between Manaus and the interior continue to influence vote distribution. Late September polling releases or turnout patterns in battleground municipalities could widen or narrow the implied probabilities before the October 4 first-round vote.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$29,660
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador do Amazonas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Omar Aziz" at 53%, followed by "Professora Maria do Carmo" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Amazonas" has generated $29.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Amazonas," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Amazonas" is "Omar Aziz" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Professora Maria do Carmo" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Amazonas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.