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icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador do Amapá
Política·Brasil

Vencedor da eleição para governador do Amapá

icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador do Amapá
Política·Brasil

Vencedor da eleição para governador do Amapá

Dr. Furlan 87%

Clécio Luís 5.8%

Marcos Reategui 4.7%

Jairo Palheta 2.2%

Polymarket
NOVO

Dr. Furlan 87%

Clécio Luís 5.8%

Marcos Reategui 4.7%

Jairo Palheta 2.2%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Dr. Furlan

Dr. Furlan

$6,296 Vol.

87%

icon for Clécio Luís

Clécio Luís

$318 Vol.

6%

icon for Marcos Reategui

Marcos Reategui

$209 Vol.

5%

icon for Jairo Palheta

Jairo Palheta

$374 Vol.

2%

icon for Carlos Cley

Carlos Cley

$128 Vol.

1%

The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former mayor of Macapá, holds a commanding position in the Amapá gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent polling from Real Time Big Data, conducted September 3–7, shows him at 62% in the stimulated first-round scenario against incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) at 31%, with all other candidates below 3%. Earlier surveys from Paraná Pesquisas, Quaest, and Veritá have shown similar double-digit leads for Furlan since mid-year. Furlan has maintained an active campaign schedule of walks, meetings, and rallies across Macapá, Santana, and southern municipalities, while Clécio seeks re-election with support from federal allies. These polling trends and campaign dynamics align with trader consensus on the frontrunner.

The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$7,325
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former mayor of Macapá, holds a commanding position in the Amapá gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent polling from Real Time Big Data, conducted September 3–7, shows him at 62% in the stimulated first-round scenario against incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) at 31%, with all other candidates below 3%. Earlier surveys from Paraná Pesquisas, Quaest, and Veritá have shown similar double-digit leads for Furlan since mid-year. Furlan has maintained an active campaign schedule of walks, meetings, and rallies across Macapá, Santana, and southern municipalities, while Clécio seeks re-election with support from federal allies. These polling trends and campaign dynamics align with trader consensus on the frontrunner.

The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$7,325
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador do Amapá" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dr. Furlan" at 87%, followed by "Clécio Luís" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da eleição para governador do Amapá" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Amapá," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Amapá" is "Dr. Furlan" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Clécio Luís" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Amapá" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.