Recent polling shows a tight contest for the two Alagoas Senate seats, with Arthur Lira, Renan Calheiros, and Marina JHC in a technical tie for top positions as of mid-September 2026. Voters select two candidates, and summed first- and second-preference results from institutes such as Real Time Big Data and Quaest place the three within the margin of error, typically 19–22% each, amid 19% undecided and notable blank or null votes. Lira’s national profile as former Chamber president and Renan’s long Senate tenure provide established bases, while Marina JHC gains from her husband JHC’s strong Maceió support after he shifted to the gubernatorial race. Regional divides between the capital and interior, plus coalition dynamics, continue to shape second-vote flows and keep separation narrow ahead of the October 4 vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoArthur Lira 43%
Renan 28%
Marina JHC 19.4%
Alexandre Fleming 1.9%
$22,683 Vol.
$22,683 Vol.
4 out 2026
Arthur Lira
43%
Renan
28%
Marina JHC
19%
Alexandre Fleming
2%
Dr. Wanderley
1%
Davi Davino Filho
<1%
Mariedson
<1%
Arthur Lira 43%
Renan 28%
Marina JHC 19.4%
Alexandre Fleming 1.9%
$22,683 Vol.
$22,683 Vol.
4 out 2026
Arthur Lira
$12,045 Vol.
43%
Renan
$7,511 Vol.
28%
Marina JHC
$1,326 Vol.
19%
Alexandre Fleming
$458 Vol.
2%
Dr. Wanderley
$541 Vol.
1%
Davi Davino Filho
$393 Vol.
<1%
Mariedson
$408 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling shows a tight contest for the two Alagoas Senate seats, with Arthur Lira, Renan Calheiros, and Marina JHC in a technical tie for top positions as of mid-September 2026. Voters select two candidates, and summed first- and second-preference results from institutes such as Real Time Big Data and Quaest place the three within the margin of error, typically 19–22% each, amid 19% undecided and notable blank or null votes. Lira’s national profile as former Chamber president and Renan’s long Senate tenure provide established bases, while Marina JHC gains from her husband JHC’s strong Maceió support after he shifted to the gubernatorial race. Regional divides between the capital and interior, plus coalition dynamics, continue to shape second-vote flows and keep separation narrow ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ET
Volume
$22,683Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling shows a tight contest for the two Alagoas Senate seats, with Arthur Lira, Renan Calheiros, and Marina JHC in a technical tie for top positions as of mid-September 2026. Voters select two candidates, and summed first- and second-preference results from institutes such as Real Time Big Data and Quaest place the three within the margin of error, typically 19–22% each, amid 19% undecided and notable blank or null votes. Lira’s national profile as former Chamber president and Renan’s long Senate tenure provide established bases, while Marina JHC gains from her husband JHC’s strong Maceió support after he shifted to the gubernatorial race. Regional divides between the capital and interior, plus coalition dynamics, continue to shape second-vote flows and keep separation narrow ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$22,683Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows a tight contest for the two Alagoas Senate seats, with Arthur Lira, Renan Calheiros, and Marina JHC in a technical tie for top positions as of mid-September 2026. Voters select two candidates, and summed first- and second-preference results from institutes such as Real Time Big Data and Quaest place the three within the margin of error, typically 19–22% each, amid 19% undecided and notable blank or null votes. Lira’s national profile as former Chamber president and Renan’s long Senate tenure provide established bases, while Marina JHC gains from her husband JHC’s strong Maceió support after he shifted to the gubernatorial race. Regional divides between the capital and interior, plus coalition dynamics, continue to shape second-vote flows and keep separation narrow ahead of the October 4 vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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