Marcelo Castro (MDB) holds a narrow edge in trader pricing for first place in Piauí’s two-seat Senate contest, closely followed by Ciro Nogueira (PP) and Júlio César (PSD), reflecting consistent polling patterns through mid-September 2026. Multiple surveys show the three candidates separated by only a few points in consolidated first-and-second-vote scenarios, with large blocs of undecided voters and elevated rejection rates for Nogueira sustaining volatility. Castro benefits from alignment with the state government coalition, while Nogueira draws on established name recognition and party infrastructure; Júlio César trails but remains competitive through his own alliances. With the October vote weeks away, campaign momentum, turnout differentials, and any late endorsements or alliance shifts could separate the leaders in the final weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMarcelo Castro 52%
Ciro Nogueira 30%
Julio Cesar 16.0%
Alexandre Mariano <1%
$39,677 Wol.
$39,677 Wol.
Marcelo Castro
51%
Ciro Nogueira
30%
Julio Cesar
10%
Alexandre Mariano
<1%
Antônio Barros
<1%
Antônio José Lira
<1%
Cloves José
<1%
Danniel Rocha
<1%
Dionisio Carvalho
<1%
Francinaldo Leão
<1%
Irmão Evandro Marques
<1%
Jardenya Bezerra
<1%
Jorge Lopes
<1%
Major Paulo Roberto
<1%
Maria Madalena Nunes
<1%
Missionário Evandro Craveiro
<1%
Pastor Sena
<1%
Pedro Laurentino
<1%
Tiago Junqueira
<1%
Toinho Dufrango
<1%
Marcelo Castro 52%
Ciro Nogueira 30%
Julio Cesar 16.0%
Alexandre Mariano <1%
$39,677 Wol.
$39,677 Wol.
Marcelo Castro
51%
Ciro Nogueira
30%
Julio Cesar
10%
Alexandre Mariano
<1%
Antônio Barros
<1%
Antônio José Lira
<1%
Cloves José
<1%
Danniel Rocha
<1%
Dionisio Carvalho
<1%
Francinaldo Leão
<1%
Irmão Evandro Marques
<1%
Jardenya Bezerra
<1%
Jorge Lopes
<1%
Major Paulo Roberto
<1%
Maria Madalena Nunes
<1%
Missionário Evandro Craveiro
<1%
Pastor Sena
<1%
Pedro Laurentino
<1%
Tiago Junqueira
<1%
Toinho Dufrango
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Marcelo Castro (MDB) holds a narrow edge in trader pricing for first place in Piauí’s two-seat Senate contest, closely followed by Ciro Nogueira (PP) and Júlio César (PSD), reflecting consistent polling patterns through mid-September 2026. Multiple surveys show the three candidates separated by only a few points in consolidated first-and-second-vote scenarios, with large blocs of undecided voters and elevated rejection rates for Nogueira sustaining volatility. Castro benefits from alignment with the state government coalition, while Nogueira draws on established name recognition and party infrastructure; Júlio César trails but remains competitive through his own alliances. With the October vote weeks away, campaign momentum, turnout differentials, and any late endorsements or alliance shifts could separate the leaders in the final weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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