The race for second place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate election remains tightly contested because voters select two candidates and recent surveys show Teresa Surita (MDB) leading while Nicoletti (PL), Chico Rodrigues (PSB), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) cluster within a few points for the remaining seat. High undecided shares—reaching 67% in spontaneous responses—leave room for late consolidation or turnout shifts to reorder the finish. Internal PL dynamics, including uneven campaign funding and a recent visit by Flávio Bolsonaro, have kept attention on Nicoletti and Helio Bolsonaro without clear separation. Traders’ consensus, reflected in current pricing, assigns Nicoletti the highest probability for second place while treating the next tier as competitive, consistent with polling volatility and the fragmented field.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNicoletti 48.8%
Teresa Surita 25%
Helena da Asatur 19.6%
Helio Bolsonaro 5.2%
$62,624 Wol.
$62,624 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Nicoletti
46%
Teresa Surita
25%
Helena da Asatur
20%
Helio Bolsonaro
5%
Chico Rodrigues
3%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Mario Rocha
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Nicoletti 48.8%
Teresa Surita 25%
Helena da Asatur 19.6%
Helio Bolsonaro 5.2%
$62,624 Wol.
$62,624 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Nicoletti
$11,204 Wol.
46%
Teresa Surita
$18,485 Wol.
25%
Helena da Asatur
$4,672 Wol.
20%
Helio Bolsonaro
$9,065 Wol.
5%
Chico Rodrigues
$13,612 Wol.
3%
Pastor Isamar
$952 Wol.
<1%
Mario Rocha
$810 Wol.
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
$581 Wol.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$529 Wol.
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$569 Wol.
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$676 Wol.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$887 Wol.
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$583 Wol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The race for second place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate election remains tightly contested because voters select two candidates and recent surveys show Teresa Surita (MDB) leading while Nicoletti (PL), Chico Rodrigues (PSB), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) cluster within a few points for the remaining seat. High undecided shares—reaching 67% in spontaneous responses—leave room for late consolidation or turnout shifts to reorder the finish. Internal PL dynamics, including uneven campaign funding and a recent visit by Flávio Bolsonaro, have kept attention on Nicoletti and Helio Bolsonaro without clear separation. Traders’ consensus, reflected in current pricing, assigns Nicoletti the highest probability for second place while treating the next tier as competitive, consistent with polling volatility and the fragmented field.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Wolumen
$62,624Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The race for second place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate election remains tightly contested because voters select two candidates and recent surveys show Teresa Surita (MDB) leading while Nicoletti (PL), Chico Rodrigues (PSB), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) cluster within a few points for the remaining seat. High undecided shares—reaching 67% in spontaneous responses—leave room for late consolidation or turnout shifts to reorder the finish. Internal PL dynamics, including uneven campaign funding and a recent visit by Flávio Bolsonaro, have kept attention on Nicoletti and Helio Bolsonaro without clear separation. Traders’ consensus, reflected in current pricing, assigns Nicoletti the highest probability for second place while treating the next tier as competitive, consistent with polling volatility and the fragmented field.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$62,624Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The race for second place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate election remains tightly contested because voters select two candidates and recent surveys show Teresa Surita (MDB) leading while Nicoletti (PL), Chico Rodrigues (PSB), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) cluster within a few points for the remaining seat. High undecided shares—reaching 67% in spontaneous responses—leave room for late consolidation or turnout shifts to reorder the finish. Internal PL dynamics, including uneven campaign funding and a recent visit by Flávio Bolsonaro, have kept attention on Nicoletti and Helio Bolsonaro without clear separation. Traders’ consensus, reflected in current pricing, assigns Nicoletti the highest probability for second place while treating the next tier as competitive, consistent with polling volatility and the fragmented field.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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