**Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) leads the market for second place in Pará’s October 4, 2026 Senate election at 64 percent implied probability, reflecting consistent polling trends that place him behind Helder Barbalho (MDB) while ahead of other contenders.** Recent surveys, including Quaest (late August) and Real Time Big Data (early September), show Helder in first with 23–36 percent consolidated support and Éder Mauro in second at 14–17 percent, with Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Celso Sabino (PDT), and Chicão (União Brasil) clustered lower around 11–12 percent. Traders appear to view Éder Mauro’s profile as a federal deputy and former police delegate, combined with PL backing and emphasis on security, as positioning him most strongly for the second seat in this two-vote, top-two contest. Zequinha Marinho’s 25 percent price accounts for his incumbent status and re-election bid, while lower probabilities for remaining names align with their marginal polling shares and limited momentum in the final weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoDelegado Éder Mauro 64%
Zequinha Marinho 25%
Celso Sabino 8%
Helder 5.0%
$24,607 Wol.
$24,607 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Delegado Éder Mauro
64%
Zequinha Marinho
25%
Celso Sabino
8%
Helder
5%
Edlaine Rodrigues
4%
Chicão
2%
Conti
2%
Breno Guimarães
2%
Fernanda Lopes
1%
Gizelle Freitas
1%
Willem da Silva
<1%
Delegado Éder Mauro 64%
Zequinha Marinho 25%
Celso Sabino 8%
Helder 5.0%
$24,607 Wol.
$24,607 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Delegado Éder Mauro
$13,545 Wol.
64%
Zequinha Marinho
$7,075 Wol.
25%
Celso Sabino
$480 Wol.
8%
Helder
$1,525 Wol.
5%
Edlaine Rodrigues
$551 Wol.
4%
Chicão
$235 Wol.
2%
Conti
$272 Wol.
2%
Breno Guimarães
$240 Wol.
2%
Fernanda Lopes
$208 Wol.
1%
Gizelle Freitas
$266 Wol.
1%
Willem da Silva
$211 Wol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) leads the market for second place in Pará’s October 4, 2026 Senate election at 64 percent implied probability, reflecting consistent polling trends that place him behind Helder Barbalho (MDB) while ahead of other contenders.** Recent surveys, including Quaest (late August) and Real Time Big Data (early September), show Helder in first with 23–36 percent consolidated support and Éder Mauro in second at 14–17 percent, with Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Celso Sabino (PDT), and Chicão (União Brasil) clustered lower around 11–12 percent. Traders appear to view Éder Mauro’s profile as a federal deputy and former police delegate, combined with PL backing and emphasis on security, as positioning him most strongly for the second seat in this two-vote, top-two contest. Zequinha Marinho’s 25 percent price accounts for his incumbent status and re-election bid, while lower probabilities for remaining names align with their marginal polling shares and limited momentum in the final weeks.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Wolumen
$24,607Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) leads the market for second place in Pará’s October 4, 2026 Senate election at 64 percent implied probability, reflecting consistent polling trends that place him behind Helder Barbalho (MDB) while ahead of other contenders.** Recent surveys, including Quaest (late August) and Real Time Big Data (early September), show Helder in first with 23–36 percent consolidated support and Éder Mauro in second at 14–17 percent, with Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Celso Sabino (PDT), and Chicão (União Brasil) clustered lower around 11–12 percent. Traders appear to view Éder Mauro’s profile as a federal deputy and former police delegate, combined with PL backing and emphasis on security, as positioning him most strongly for the second seat in this two-vote, top-two contest. Zequinha Marinho’s 25 percent price accounts for his incumbent status and re-election bid, while lower probabilities for remaining names align with their marginal polling shares and limited momentum in the final weeks.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$24,607Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) leads the market for second place in Pará’s October 4, 2026 Senate election at 64 percent implied probability, reflecting consistent polling trends that place him behind Helder Barbalho (MDB) while ahead of other contenders.** Recent surveys, including Quaest (late August) and Real Time Big Data (early September), show Helder in first with 23–36 percent consolidated support and Éder Mauro in second at 14–17 percent, with Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Celso Sabino (PDT), and Chicão (União Brasil) clustered lower around 11–12 percent. Traders appear to view Éder Mauro’s profile as a federal deputy and former police delegate, combined with PL backing and emphasis on security, as positioning him most strongly for the second seat in this two-vote, top-two contest. Zequinha Marinho’s 25 percent price accounts for his incumbent status and re-election bid, while lower probabilities for remaining names align with their marginal polling shares and limited momentum in the final weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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