Recent energy price pressures, including elevated oil costs amid geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, have lifted market-implied odds for the August 2026 PPI YoY to 5.1% or higher at 66%. July’s final demand PPI held flat month-over-month with a 4.7% year-over-year reading—down from 5.5% in June—while core measures eased to 4.2%, reflecting goods deflation offset by services gains. Analysts now project a rebound to roughly 5.3% for August, driven by commodity pass-through and base effects, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the heavy weighting toward the 5.1%+ bucket. The Bureau of Labor Statistics release at 8:30 a.m. ET today represents the key near-term catalyst that could validate or shift these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPPI YoY - August 2026
5.1%+ 74%
4.9% 8.5%
5.0% 5.3%
4.6% 4.5%
$20,187 Wol.
$20,187 Wol.
≤4.2%
1%
4.3%
1%
4.4%
1%
4.5%
2%
4.6%
5%
4.7%
4%
4.8%
4%
4.9%
8%
5.0%
5%
5.1%+
65%
5.1%+ 74%
4.9% 8.5%
5.0% 5.3%
4.6% 4.5%
$20,187 Wol.
$20,187 Wol.
≤4.2%
1%
4.3%
1%
4.4%
1%
4.5%
2%
4.6%
5%
4.7%
4%
4.8%
4%
4.9%
8%
5.0%
5%
5.1%+
65%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent energy price pressures, including elevated oil costs amid geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, have lifted market-implied odds for the August 2026 PPI YoY to 5.1% or higher at 66%. July’s final demand PPI held flat month-over-month with a 4.7% year-over-year reading—down from 5.5% in June—while core measures eased to 4.2%, reflecting goods deflation offset by services gains. Analysts now project a rebound to roughly 5.3% for August, driven by commodity pass-through and base effects, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the heavy weighting toward the 5.1%+ bucket. The Bureau of Labor Statistics release at 8:30 a.m. ET today represents the key near-term catalyst that could validate or shift these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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