Recent polling in Minas Gerais shows Marília Campos (PT) leading for one Senate seat while a tight contest for second place involves Carlos Viana (PSD), Domingos Sávio (PL), Aécio Neves (PSDB), and others, with combined vote shares clustered within margins of error. Aécio’s late-August candidacy entry has reshuffled positioning and boosted his standing relative to prior surveys. High undecided voters (around 29%), split-ticket voting for the two seats, and approaching party substitution deadlines keep probabilities compressed. Trader consensus on the second-place outcome reflects these narrow polling gaps and uncertainty over final alliances and turnout patterns ahead of the October 4 election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Carlos Viana 26%
アエシオ・ネヴェス 21.9%
Domingos Sávio 21.4%
Marília Campos 21%
$46,431 Vol.
$46,431 Vol.
2026/10/04
Carlos Viana
26%
アエシオ・ネヴェス
22%
Domingos Sávio
21%
Marília Campos
21%
Marcelo Aro
6%
Marco Antônio Superman
2%
Áurea Carolina
2%
Marcelo Heringer
<1%
Arcanjo Pimenta
<1%
Jordano Metalúrgico
<1%
Juiz Ramon Moreira
<1%
Victória Mello Vic
<1%
Manoel Carvalho
<1%
Ana Luiza do MLB
<1%
Fidélis Alcântara
<1%
Gustavo Galassi
<1%
Tião Pessoa
<1%
Carlin Moura
<1%
Carlos Viana 26%
アエシオ・ネヴェス 21.9%
Domingos Sávio 21.4%
Marília Campos 21%
$46,431 Vol.
$46,431 Vol.
2026/10/04
Carlos Viana
$13,286 Vol.
26%
アエシオ・ネヴェス
$5,210 Vol.
22%
Domingos Sávio
$5,837 Vol.
21%
Marília Campos
$9,351 Vol.
21%
Marcelo Aro
$1,821 Vol.
6%
Marco Antônio Superman
$2,158 Vol.
2%
Áurea Carolina
$1,960 Vol.
2%
Marcelo Heringer
$581 Vol.
<1%
Arcanjo Pimenta
$692 Vol.
<1%
Jordano Metalúrgico
$555 Vol.
<1%
Juiz Ramon Moreira
$458 Vol.
<1%
Victória Mello Vic
$594 Vol.
<1%
Manoel Carvalho
$705 Vol.
<1%
Ana Luiza do MLB
$549 Vol.
<1%
Fidélis Alcântara
$825 Vol.
<1%
Gustavo Galassi
$559 Vol.
<1%
Tião Pessoa
$584 Vol.
<1%
Carlin Moura
$703 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Minas Gerais shows Marília Campos (PT) leading for one Senate seat while a tight contest for second place involves Carlos Viana (PSD), Domingos Sávio (PL), Aécio Neves (PSDB), and others, with combined vote shares clustered within margins of error. Aécio’s late-August candidacy entry has reshuffled positioning and boosted his standing relative to prior surveys. High undecided voters (around 29%), split-ticket voting for the two seats, and approaching party substitution deadlines keep probabilities compressed. Trader consensus on the second-place outcome reflects these narrow polling gaps and uncertainty over final alliances and turnout patterns ahead of the October 4 election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
音量
$46,431終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Minas Gerais shows Marília Campos (PT) leading for one Senate seat while a tight contest for second place involves Carlos Viana (PSD), Domingos Sávio (PL), Aécio Neves (PSDB), and others, with combined vote shares clustered within margins of error. Aécio’s late-August candidacy entry has reshuffled positioning and boosted his standing relative to prior surveys. High undecided voters (around 29%), split-ticket voting for the two seats, and approaching party substitution deadlines keep probabilities compressed. Trader consensus on the second-place outcome reflects these narrow polling gaps and uncertainty over final alliances and turnout patterns ahead of the October 4 election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$46,431終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Minas Gerais shows Marília Campos (PT) leading for one Senate seat while a tight contest for second place involves Carlos Viana (PSD), Domingos Sávio (PL), Aécio Neves (PSDB), and others, with combined vote shares clustered within margins of error. Aécio’s late-August candidacy entry has reshuffled positioning and boosted his standing relative to prior surveys. High undecided voters (around 29%), split-ticket voting for the two seats, and approaching party substitution deadlines keep probabilities compressed. Trader consensus on the second-place outcome reflects these narrow polling gaps and uncertainty over final alliances and turnout patterns ahead of the October 4 election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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