Abdul El-Sayed holds a commanding lead in trader assessments for the Oakland County portion of Michigan’s open U.S. Senate race due to his primary performance and alignment with key suburban voting blocs. The Democratic nominee secured the nomination in August after a narrow victory over Rep. Haley Stevens, whose base included Oakland County strongholds, yet El-Sayed consolidated support among college-educated and younger voters who form a sizable share of the county’s electorate. Recent statewide polling shows the overall contest as a statistical tie, but El-Sayed’s edge in those demographics supports expectations he carries the county on November 3. Mike Rogers, the Republican nominee and former congressman, leads among independents and non-college voters statewide, yet that coalition has not translated into county-level strength in current assessments. Late shifts in turnout among independents or stronger Republican mobilization in suburban precincts remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
アブドゥル・エル＝サイード（民主党）
92%
マイク・ロジャース（共和党）
9%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
アブドゥル・エル＝サイード（民主党）
$625 Vol.
92%
マイク・ロジャース（共和党）
$320 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.Abdul El-Sayed holds a commanding lead in trader assessments for the Oakland County portion of Michigan’s open U.S. Senate race due to his primary performance and alignment with key suburban voting blocs. The Democratic nominee secured the nomination in August after a narrow victory over Rep. Haley Stevens, whose base included Oakland County strongholds, yet El-Sayed consolidated support among college-educated and younger voters who form a sizable share of the county’s electorate. Recent statewide polling shows the overall contest as a statistical tie, but El-Sayed’s edge in those demographics supports expectations he carries the county on November 3. Mike Rogers, the Republican nominee and former congressman, leads among independents and non-college voters statewide, yet that coalition has not translated into county-level strength in current assessments. Late shifts in turnout among independents or stronger Republican mobilization in suburban precincts remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.
マーケット開始日： Sep 1, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
音量
$945終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 1:30 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.Abdul El-Sayed holds a commanding lead in trader assessments for the Oakland County portion of Michigan’s open U.S. Senate race due to his primary performance and alignment with key suburban voting blocs. The Democratic nominee secured the nomination in August after a narrow victory over Rep. Haley Stevens, whose base included Oakland County strongholds, yet El-Sayed consolidated support among college-educated and younger voters who form a sizable share of the county’s electorate. Recent statewide polling shows the overall contest as a statistical tie, but El-Sayed’s edge in those demographics supports expectations he carries the county on November 3. Mike Rogers, the Republican nominee and former congressman, leads among independents and non-college voters statewide, yet that coalition has not translated into county-level strength in current assessments. Late shifts in turnout among independents or stronger Republican mobilization in suburban precincts remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.
音量
$945終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 1:30 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Abdul El-Sayed holds a commanding lead in trader assessments for the Oakland County portion of Michigan’s open U.S. Senate race due to his primary performance and alignment with key suburban voting blocs. The Democratic nominee secured the nomination in August after a narrow victory over Rep. Haley Stevens, whose base included Oakland County strongholds, yet El-Sayed consolidated support among college-educated and younger voters who form a sizable share of the county’s electorate. Recent statewide polling shows the overall contest as a statistical tie, but El-Sayed’s edge in those demographics supports expectations he carries the county on November 3. Mike Rogers, the Republican nominee and former congressman, leads among independents and non-college voters statewide, yet that coalition has not translated into county-level strength in current assessments. Late shifts in turnout among independents or stronger Republican mobilization in suburban precincts remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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