Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic tilt, his established record as governor since 2019, and a substantial fundraising edge that has enabled extensive campaign outreach. Recent polling averages show him ahead by roughly 20 points, aligning with forecasts that rate the contest as solidly Democratic and reflect the outcome of the 2022 rematch against Republican nominee Darren Bailey. Bailey secured his party's nomination in the March primary but faces structural hurdles, including limited resources and the challenge of broadening appeal beyond downstate strongholds in a state where Democrats have won recent statewide contests by double digits. Trader consensus at these levels accounts for the low probability of late shifts from factors such as economic conditions, turnout patterns, or unexpected developments before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$11,258 Vol.
$11,258 Vol.
2026/11/02
JBプリツカー（民主党）
96%
ダレン・ベイリー（共和党）
3%
$11,258 Vol.
$11,258 Vol.
2026/11/02
JBプリツカー（民主党）
$5,184 Vol.
96%
ダレン・ベイリー（共和党）
$6,074 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic tilt, his established record as governor since 2019, and a substantial fundraising edge that has enabled extensive campaign outreach. Recent polling averages show him ahead by roughly 20 points, aligning with forecasts that rate the contest as solidly Democratic and reflect the outcome of the 2022 rematch against Republican nominee Darren Bailey. Bailey secured his party's nomination in the March primary but faces structural hurdles, including limited resources and the challenge of broadening appeal beyond downstate strongholds in a state where Democrats have won recent statewide contests by double digits. Trader consensus at these levels accounts for the low probability of late shifts from factors such as economic conditions, turnout patterns, or unexpected developments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
音量
$11,258終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic tilt, his established record as governor since 2019, and a substantial fundraising edge that has enabled extensive campaign outreach. Recent polling averages show him ahead by roughly 20 points, aligning with forecasts that rate the contest as solidly Democratic and reflect the outcome of the 2022 rematch against Republican nominee Darren Bailey. Bailey secured his party's nomination in the March primary but faces structural hurdles, including limited resources and the challenge of broadening appeal beyond downstate strongholds in a state where Democrats have won recent statewide contests by double digits. Trader consensus at these levels accounts for the low probability of late shifts from factors such as economic conditions, turnout patterns, or unexpected developments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$11,258終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic tilt, his established record as governor since 2019, and a substantial fundraising edge that has enabled extensive campaign outreach. Recent polling averages show him ahead by roughly 20 points, aligning with forecasts that rate the contest as solidly Democratic and reflect the outcome of the 2022 rematch against Republican nominee Darren Bailey. Bailey secured his party's nomination in the March primary but faces structural hurdles, including limited resources and the challenge of broadening appeal beyond downstate strongholds in a state where Democrats have won recent statewide contests by double digits. Trader consensus at these levels accounts for the low probability of late shifts from factors such as economic conditions, turnout patterns, or unexpected developments before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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