Latest meteorological forecasts for Ankara on September 11 project a daytime high near 31°C under clear skies and light winds, driven by strong solar radiative heating on the Anatolian plateau with minimal cloud cover or moisture to limit warming. Ensemble guidance and regional models show afternoon peaks clustering around 30–31°C, consistent with recent above-normal temperatures and the absence of frontal systems or significant advection. This stability underpins the dominant market-implied probability for 31°C, while modest uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized variations supports secondary weighting toward 30°C. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final observational inputs for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月11日のアンカラの最高気温は？
9月11日のアンカラの最高気温は？
31°C 63%
30℃ 28%
32℃ 7%
29℃ 3%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
24℃以下
<1%
25℃
<1%
26°C
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
2%
29℃
3%
30℃
28%
31°C
63%
32℃
7%
33℃
2%
34℃以上
<1%
31°C 63%
30℃ 28%
32℃ 7%
29℃ 3%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
24℃以下
$125 Vol.
<1%
25℃
$179 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
27℃
$200 Vol.
<1%
28℃
$275 Vol.
2%
29℃
$211 Vol.
3%
30℃
$769 Vol.
28%
31°C
$1,522 Vol.
63%
32℃
$450 Vol.
7%
33℃
$283 Vol.
2%
34℃以上
$174 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts for Ankara on September 11 project a daytime high near 31°C under clear skies and light winds, driven by strong solar radiative heating on the Anatolian plateau with minimal cloud cover or moisture to limit warming. Ensemble guidance and regional models show afternoon peaks clustering around 30–31°C, consistent with recent above-normal temperatures and the absence of frontal systems or significant advection. This stability underpins the dominant market-implied probability for 31°C, while modest uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized variations supports secondary weighting toward 30°C. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final observational inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$4,373終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts for Ankara on September 11 project a daytime high near 31°C under clear skies and light winds, driven by strong solar radiative heating on the Anatolian plateau with minimal cloud cover or moisture to limit warming. Ensemble guidance and regional models show afternoon peaks clustering around 30–31°C, consistent with recent above-normal temperatures and the absence of frontal systems or significant advection. This stability underpins the dominant market-implied probability for 31°C, while modest uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized variations supports secondary weighting toward 30°C. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final observational inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$4,373終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETLatest meteorological forecasts for Ankara on September 11 project a daytime high near 31°C under clear skies and light winds, driven by strong solar radiative heating on the Anatolian plateau with minimal cloud cover or moisture to limit warming. Ensemble guidance and regional models show afternoon peaks clustering around 30–31°C, consistent with recent above-normal temperatures and the absence of frontal systems or significant advection. This stability underpins the dominant market-implied probability for 31°C, while modest uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized variations supports secondary weighting toward 30°C. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final observational inputs for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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