**Trader consensus heavily favors 20°C as the daily maximum in Warsaw on September 10, driven by consistent numerical weather prediction outputs showing a cool, rainy regime following the prior day's 29°C peak.** A passing cold front has introduced westerly flow and increased cloud cover, limiting insolation and capping afternoon temperatures near 19–20°C according to ensemble guidance and station observations. This aligns with climatological expectations for mid-September, when Warsaw's average highs decline from late-summer warmth. Model agreement remains high, though minor uncertainties persist around exact cloud breaks or frontal timing that could allow a brief excursion to 21°C or keep readings at 19°C. Updated short-range forecasts and real-time surface data from Polish meteorological networks will refine the outcome as the day progresses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月10日のワルシャワの最高気温は?
20°C 91%
21°C 8%
19°C <1%
22℃ <1%
$98,330 Vol.
$98,330 Vol.
15℃以下
<1%
16℃
<1%
17℃
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
91%
21°C
8%
22℃
1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃以上
<1%
20°C 91%
21°C 8%
19°C <1%
22℃ <1%
$98,330 Vol.
$98,330 Vol.
15℃以下
<1%
16℃
<1%
17℃
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
91%
21°C
8%
22℃
1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus heavily favors 20°C as the daily maximum in Warsaw on September 10, driven by consistent numerical weather prediction outputs showing a cool, rainy regime following the prior day's 29°C peak.** A passing cold front has introduced westerly flow and increased cloud cover, limiting insolation and capping afternoon temperatures near 19–20°C according to ensemble guidance and station observations. This aligns with climatological expectations for mid-September, when Warsaw's average highs decline from late-summer warmth. Model agreement remains high, though minor uncertainties persist around exact cloud breaks or frontal timing that could allow a brief excursion to 21°C or keep readings at 19°C. Updated short-range forecasts and real-time surface data from Polish meteorological networks will refine the outcome as the day progresses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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