Persistent cloud cover, widespread light rain, and northeasterly winds of 7–12 mph are suppressing daytime heating across Tokyo on September 10, 2026, keeping maximum temperatures tightly clustered around 21–23 °C according to Japan Meteorological Agency observations and GFS guidance. Recent model runs show minimal diurnal rise under overcast skies with dew points near 18–19 °C and relative humidity above 80 %, consistent with the market’s strong consensus on 22 °C. Earlier in the week, clearer conditions allowed peaks near 31–32 °C, but the current frontal pattern has shifted probabilities sharply lower. Updated short-range forecasts through evening will confirm whether any brief clearing lifts readings into the low 23 °C range before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月10日の東京の最高気温は？
9月10日の東京の最高気温は？
22℃ 59%
21℃ 25%
23°C 11%
24°C 3%
新規
$31,616 Vol.
新規
$31,616 Vol.
2026/09/10
17℃以下
<1%
18℃
<1%
19℃
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃
25%
22℃
59%
23°C
11%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27℃以上
<1%
22℃ 59%
21℃ 25%
23°C 11%
24°C 3%
新規
$31,616 Vol.
新規
$31,616 Vol.
2026/09/10
17℃以下
$1,322 Vol.
<1%
18℃
$1,227 Vol.
<1%
19℃
$451 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,437 Vol.
<1%
21℃
$5,849 Vol.
25%
22℃
$4,087 Vol.
59%
23°C
$4,133 Vol.
11%
24°C
$2,929 Vol.
3%
25°C
$4,453 Vol.
2%
26°C
$2,646 Vol.
<1%
27℃以上
$3,083 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread light rain, and northeasterly winds of 7–12 mph are suppressing daytime heating across Tokyo on September 10, 2026, keeping maximum temperatures tightly clustered around 21–23 °C according to Japan Meteorological Agency observations and GFS guidance. Recent model runs show minimal diurnal rise under overcast skies with dew points near 18–19 °C and relative humidity above 80 %, consistent with the market’s strong consensus on 22 °C. Earlier in the week, clearer conditions allowed peaks near 31–32 °C, but the current frontal pattern has shifted probabilities sharply lower. Updated short-range forecasts through evening will confirm whether any brief clearing lifts readings into the low 23 °C range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$31,616終了日
2026/09/10マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread light rain, and northeasterly winds of 7–12 mph are suppressing daytime heating across Tokyo on September 10, 2026, keeping maximum temperatures tightly clustered around 21–23 °C according to Japan Meteorological Agency observations and GFS guidance. Recent model runs show minimal diurnal rise under overcast skies with dew points near 18–19 °C and relative humidity above 80 %, consistent with the market’s strong consensus on 22 °C. Earlier in the week, clearer conditions allowed peaks near 31–32 °C, but the current frontal pattern has shifted probabilities sharply lower. Updated short-range forecasts through evening will confirm whether any brief clearing lifts readings into the low 23 °C range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$31,616終了日
2026/09/10マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETPersistent cloud cover, widespread light rain, and northeasterly winds of 7–12 mph are suppressing daytime heating across Tokyo on September 10, 2026, keeping maximum temperatures tightly clustered around 21–23 °C according to Japan Meteorological Agency observations and GFS guidance. Recent model runs show minimal diurnal rise under overcast skies with dew points near 18–19 °C and relative humidity above 80 %, consistent with the market’s strong consensus on 22 °C. Earlier in the week, clearer conditions allowed peaks near 31–32 °C, but the current frontal pattern has shifted probabilities sharply lower. Updated short-range forecasts through evening will confirm whether any brief clearing lifts readings into the low 23 °C range before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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