**Cold air intrusion from the north has driven Chongqing's temperatures sharply lower after a brief late-summer heatwave, producing model consensus for a daily maximum near 30 °C on September 10.** Official forecasts from regional meteorological services indicate cloudy conditions with scattered showers, daytime highs around 27–29 °C, and limited diurnal warming under increased cloud cover and moderate southwesterly flow. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 99.4 % implied probability for exactly 30 °C as the official recorded high. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical maxima near 27 °C, making the current setup consistent with post-frontal stabilization. The primary uncertainty remains minor forecast spread in timing or intensity of any residual warm advection; however, the strong consensus across updated model runs and the absence of significant warm-air return leave little realistic path for outcomes above 31 °C or below 28 °C by the close of the observation period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月10日の重慶の最高気温は?
30℃ 99.4%
31°C <1%
33℃以上 <1%
32°C <1%
$62,171 Vol.
$62,171 Vol.
23°C以下
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
99%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33℃以上
<1%
30℃ 99.4%
31°C <1%
33℃以上 <1%
32°C <1%
$62,171 Vol.
$62,171 Vol.
23°C以下
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
99%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Cold air intrusion from the north has driven Chongqing's temperatures sharply lower after a brief late-summer heatwave, producing model consensus for a daily maximum near 30 °C on September 10.** Official forecasts from regional meteorological services indicate cloudy conditions with scattered showers, daytime highs around 27–29 °C, and limited diurnal warming under increased cloud cover and moderate southwesterly flow. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 99.4 % implied probability for exactly 30 °C as the official recorded high. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical maxima near 27 °C, making the current setup consistent with post-frontal stabilization. The primary uncertainty remains minor forecast spread in timing or intensity of any residual warm advection; however, the strong consensus across updated model runs and the absence of significant warm-air return leave little realistic path for outcomes above 31 °C or below 28 °C by the close of the observation period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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