**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 28°C high in Beijing on September 12, 2026, rests on converging official forecasts and real-time observations from meteorological agencies.** Multiple model runs, including GFS data, projected a peak near 84°F (approximately 29°C) under clear skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity levels typical of early autumn, with hourly readings confirming a maximum around the 28°C threshold. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 27.1°C for the date, adjusted slightly upward by persistent high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover. Uncertainties in measurement precision or localized variations could theoretically shift the official recorded high to 27°C or 29°C, though current data convergence makes such outcomes improbable before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日の北京の最高気温は？
9月12日の北京の最高気温は？
28℃ 100%
24℃以下 <1%
25℃ <1%
26°C <1%
$46,894 Vol.
$46,894 Vol.
2026/09/12
24℃以下
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26°C
いいえ
27℃
いいえ
28℃
はい
29℃
いいえ
30℃
いいえ
31°C
いいえ
32°C
いいえ
33°C
いいえ
34℃以上
いいえ
28℃ 100%
24℃以下 <1%
25℃ <1%
26°C <1%
$46,894 Vol.
$46,894 Vol.
2026/09/12
24℃以下
$115 Vol.
いいえ
25℃
$630 Vol.
いいえ
26°C
$2,602 Vol.
いいえ
27℃
$4,784 Vol.
いいえ
28℃
$11,898 Vol.
はい
29℃
$11,393 Vol.
いいえ
30℃
$6,234 Vol.
いいえ
31°C
$2,873 Vol.
いいえ
32°C
$2,755 Vol.
いいえ
33°C
$1,669 Vol.
いいえ
34℃以上
$1,943 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 28°C high in Beijing on September 12, 2026, rests on converging official forecasts and real-time observations from meteorological agencies.** Multiple model runs, including GFS data, projected a peak near 84°F (approximately 29°C) under clear skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity levels typical of early autumn, with hourly readings confirming a maximum around the 28°C threshold. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 27.1°C for the date, adjusted slightly upward by persistent high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover.
Uncertainties in measurement precision or localized variations could theoretically shift the official recorded high to 27°C or 29°C, though current data convergence makes such outcomes improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$46,894終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 28°C high in Beijing on September 12, 2026, rests on converging official forecasts and real-time observations from meteorological agencies.** Multiple model runs, including GFS data, projected a peak near 84°F (approximately 29°C) under clear skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity levels typical of early autumn, with hourly readings confirming a maximum around the 28°C threshold. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 27.1°C for the date, adjusted slightly upward by persistent high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover.
Uncertainties in measurement precision or localized variations could theoretically shift the official recorded high to 27°C or 29°C, though current data convergence makes such outcomes improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$46,894終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 28°C high in Beijing on September 12, 2026, rests on converging official forecasts and real-time observations from meteorological agencies.** Multiple model runs, including GFS data, projected a peak near 84°F (approximately 29°C) under clear skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity levels typical of early autumn, with hourly readings confirming a maximum around the 28°C threshold. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 27.1°C for the date, adjusted slightly upward by persistent high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover. Uncertainties in measurement precision or localized variations could theoretically shift the official recorded high to 27°C or 29°C, though current data convergence makes such outcomes improbable before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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