**Persistent southerly winds and extensive cloud cover are limiting daytime heating across Cape Town on September 10, supporting the market's strong preference for a modest high near 19°C.** Official forecasts from sources including the Met Office, Yr, and regional models converge on an 18–19°C peak under overcast skies, with temperatures rising gradually from morning lows around 14–15°C before stabilizing amid breezy conditions of 15–25 km/h from the south. This aligns with typical early-spring maritime influence in the region, where cloud reduces solar insolation and prevents stronger warming seen earlier in the month. Trader consensus, reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for 19°C and 25.5% for 20°C, matches this model agreement, though exact resolution depends on the official daily maximum observation amid minor forecast spread. No precipitation or major shifts are expected before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月10日のケープタウンの最高気温は？
9月10日のケープタウンの最高気温は？
19°C 48%
20℃ 28%
18℃ 18%
21℃ 6%
新規
$36,212 Vol.
新規
$36,212 Vol.
2026/09/10
14℃以下
<1%
15℃
1%
16℃
1%
17℃
3%
18℃
18%
19°C
48%
20℃
28%
21℃
6%
22°C
1%
23℃
<1%
24°C以上
<1%
19°C 48%
20℃ 28%
18℃ 18%
21℃ 6%
新規
$36,212 Vol.
新規
$36,212 Vol.
2026/09/10
14℃以下
$5,651 Vol.
<1%
15℃
$5,270 Vol.
1%
16℃
$3,605 Vol.
1%
17℃
$3,866 Vol.
3%
18℃
$2,288 Vol.
18%
19°C
$5,048 Vol.
48%
20℃
$4,919 Vol.
28%
21℃
$3,463 Vol.
6%
22°C
$915 Vol.
1%
23℃
$251 Vol.
<1%
24°C以上
$1,635 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southerly winds and extensive cloud cover are limiting daytime heating across Cape Town on September 10, supporting the market's strong preference for a modest high near 19°C.** Official forecasts from sources including the Met Office, Yr, and regional models converge on an 18–19°C peak under overcast skies, with temperatures rising gradually from morning lows around 14–15°C before stabilizing amid breezy conditions of 15–25 km/h from the south. This aligns with typical early-spring maritime influence in the region, where cloud reduces solar insolation and prevents stronger warming seen earlier in the month. Trader consensus, reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for 19°C and 25.5% for 20°C, matches this model agreement, though exact resolution depends on the official daily maximum observation amid minor forecast spread. No precipitation or major shifts are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$36,212終了日
2026/09/10マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southerly winds and extensive cloud cover are limiting daytime heating across Cape Town on September 10, supporting the market's strong preference for a modest high near 19°C.** Official forecasts from sources including the Met Office, Yr, and regional models converge on an 18–19°C peak under overcast skies, with temperatures rising gradually from morning lows around 14–15°C before stabilizing amid breezy conditions of 15–25 km/h from the south. This aligns with typical early-spring maritime influence in the region, where cloud reduces solar insolation and prevents stronger warming seen earlier in the month. Trader consensus, reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for 19°C and 25.5% for 20°C, matches this model agreement, though exact resolution depends on the official daily maximum observation amid minor forecast spread. No precipitation or major shifts are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$36,212終了日
2026/09/10マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Persistent southerly winds and extensive cloud cover are limiting daytime heating across Cape Town on September 10, supporting the market's strong preference for a modest high near 19°C.** Official forecasts from sources including the Met Office, Yr, and regional models converge on an 18–19°C peak under overcast skies, with temperatures rising gradually from morning lows around 14–15°C before stabilizing amid breezy conditions of 15–25 km/h from the south. This aligns with typical early-spring maritime influence in the region, where cloud reduces solar insolation and prevents stronger warming seen earlier in the month. Trader consensus, reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for 19°C and 25.5% for 20°C, matches this model agreement, though exact resolution depends on the official daily maximum observation amid minor forecast spread. No precipitation or major shifts are expected before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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