Recent polling from late August and early September shows Cid Gomes (PSB) leading the Ceará Senate race with 23-27% consolidated support for the two available seats, leaving a tight contest for second between Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede), who trade narrow leads or technical ties within margins of error at 13-22%. Alcides Fernandes (PL) trails further back. High shares of undecided and blank/null voters, combined with voters' ability to split tickets across the two vacancies, sustain the close positioning. Luizianne's alignment on the Elmano de Freitas government ticket has consolidated segments of left-leaning support, while Wagner appeals to opposition voters. With the October 4 election approaching and few major alliance shifts, these factors keep the implied probabilities for second place closely matched among the top three contenders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日カピタン・ワグナー 36%
ルイジアーニ 34%
シジ・ゴメス 20%
アルシデス・フェルナンデス 5.5%
$36,524 Vol.
$36,524 Vol.
2026/10/04
カピタン・ワグナー
36%
ルイジアーニ
32%
シジ・ゴメス
26%
アルシデス・フェルナンデス
6%
カタリナ・マトス
<1%
ギリェルメ・テオフィロ
<1%
リノ・アルヴェス
<1%
レジナウド
<1%
カピタン・ワグナー 36%
ルイジアーニ 34%
シジ・ゴメス 20%
アルシデス・フェルナンデス 5.5%
$36,524 Vol.
$36,524 Vol.
2026/10/04
カピタン・ワグナー
$14,348 Vol.
36%
ルイジアーニ
$11,623 Vol.
32%
シジ・ゴメス
$4,910 Vol.
26%
アルシデス・フェルナンデス
$1,100 Vol.
6%
カタリナ・マトス
$1,541 Vol.
<1%
ギリェルメ・テオフィロ
$825 Vol.
<1%
リノ・アルヴェス
$942 Vol.
<1%
レジナウド
$1,234 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August and early September shows Cid Gomes (PSB) leading the Ceará Senate race with 23-27% consolidated support for the two available seats, leaving a tight contest for second between Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede), who trade narrow leads or technical ties within margins of error at 13-22%. Alcides Fernandes (PL) trails further back. High shares of undecided and blank/null voters, combined with voters' ability to split tickets across the two vacancies, sustain the close positioning. Luizianne's alignment on the Elmano de Freitas government ticket has consolidated segments of left-leaning support, while Wagner appeals to opposition voters. With the October 4 election approaching and few major alliance shifts, these factors keep the implied probabilities for second place closely matched among the top three contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
音量
$36,524終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August and early September shows Cid Gomes (PSB) leading the Ceará Senate race with 23-27% consolidated support for the two available seats, leaving a tight contest for second between Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede), who trade narrow leads or technical ties within margins of error at 13-22%. Alcides Fernandes (PL) trails further back. High shares of undecided and blank/null voters, combined with voters' ability to split tickets across the two vacancies, sustain the close positioning. Luizianne's alignment on the Elmano de Freitas government ticket has consolidated segments of left-leaning support, while Wagner appeals to opposition voters. With the October 4 election approaching and few major alliance shifts, these factors keep the implied probabilities for second place closely matched among the top three contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$36,524終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from late August and early September shows Cid Gomes (PSB) leading the Ceará Senate race with 23-27% consolidated support for the two available seats, leaving a tight contest for second between Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede), who trade narrow leads or technical ties within margins of error at 13-22%. Alcides Fernandes (PL) trails further back. High shares of undecided and blank/null voters, combined with voters' ability to split tickets across the two vacancies, sustain the close positioning. Luizianne's alignment on the Elmano de Freitas government ticket has consolidated segments of left-leaning support, while Wagner appeals to opposition voters. With the October 4 election approaching and few major alliance shifts, these factors keep the implied probabilities for second place closely matched among the top three contenders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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