Recent polling from early September shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading the combined vote intentions for Pernambuco’s two Senate seats at 17%, with Humberto Costa (PT) at 14% and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 11%, all within the margin of error and creating a tight contest for the second position. Eduardo da Fonte (PP) follows at 7%, while Túlio Gadêlha (PSD) sits at 4%, with 27% undecided and 18% blank or null. The closeness between Costa and Mendonça reflects divided voter preferences between established left-leaning incumbency and right-leaning challengers aligned with state leadership, alongside limited late-campaign momentum shifts. High undecided shares and the dual-seat structure keep separation dependent on turnout patterns and final-week alignments ahead of the October vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ウンベルト・コスタ 43%
メンドンサ・フィーリョ 42%
マリリア・アラエス 12.2%
トゥリオ・ガデーリャ 3.6%
$30,999 Vol.
$30,999 Vol.
2026/10/04
ウンベルト・コスタ
43%
メンドンサ・フィーリョ
42%
マリリア・アラエス
12%
トゥリオ・ガデーリャ
4%
エドゥアルド・ダ・フォンチ
2%
サミュエル・ティモテオ
<1%
マリアノ・マセド
<1%
ジルヴァン・コスタ牧師
<1%
カルロス・サンタナ
<1%
パウロ・ルーベン・サンティアゴ
<1%
ゴレット・ビトゥ
<1%
マイウソン・ダ・シルバ・ネト
<1%
ウンベルト・コスタ 43%
メンドンサ・フィーリョ 42%
マリリア・アラエス 12.2%
トゥリオ・ガデーリャ 3.6%
$30,999 Vol.
$30,999 Vol.
2026/10/04
ウンベルト・コスタ
$10,072 Vol.
43%
メンドンサ・フィーリョ
$8,246 Vol.
42%
マリリア・アラエス
$5,282 Vol.
12%
トゥリオ・ガデーリャ
$1,430 Vol.
4%
エドゥアルド・ダ・フォンチ
$1,511 Vol.
2%
サミュエル・ティモテオ
$834 Vol.
<1%
マリアノ・マセド
$806 Vol.
<1%
ジルヴァン・コスタ牧師
$773 Vol.
<1%
カルロス・サンタナ
$494 Vol.
<1%
パウロ・ルーベン・サンティアゴ
$490 Vol.
<1%
ゴレット・ビトゥ
$629 Vol.
<1%
マイウソン・ダ・シルバ・ネト
$433 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading the combined vote intentions for Pernambuco’s two Senate seats at 17%, with Humberto Costa (PT) at 14% and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 11%, all within the margin of error and creating a tight contest for the second position. Eduardo da Fonte (PP) follows at 7%, while Túlio Gadêlha (PSD) sits at 4%, with 27% undecided and 18% blank or null. The closeness between Costa and Mendonça reflects divided voter preferences between established left-leaning incumbency and right-leaning challengers aligned with state leadership, alongside limited late-campaign momentum shifts. High undecided shares and the dual-seat structure keep separation dependent on turnout patterns and final-week alignments ahead of the October vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
音量
$30,999終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading the combined vote intentions for Pernambuco’s two Senate seats at 17%, with Humberto Costa (PT) at 14% and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 11%, all within the margin of error and creating a tight contest for the second position. Eduardo da Fonte (PP) follows at 7%, while Túlio Gadêlha (PSD) sits at 4%, with 27% undecided and 18% blank or null. The closeness between Costa and Mendonça reflects divided voter preferences between established left-leaning incumbency and right-leaning challengers aligned with state leadership, alongside limited late-campaign momentum shifts. High undecided shares and the dual-seat structure keep separation dependent on turnout patterns and final-week alignments ahead of the October vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$30,999終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from early September shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading the combined vote intentions for Pernambuco’s two Senate seats at 17%, with Humberto Costa (PT) at 14% and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 11%, all within the margin of error and creating a tight contest for the second position. Eduardo da Fonte (PP) follows at 7%, while Túlio Gadêlha (PSD) sits at 4%, with 27% undecided and 18% blank or null. The closeness between Costa and Mendonça reflects divided voter preferences between established left-leaning incumbency and right-leaning challengers aligned with state leadership, alongside limited late-campaign momentum shifts. High undecided shares and the dual-seat structure keep separation dependent on turnout patterns and final-week alignments ahead of the October vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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