California voters face competing ballot measures in November 2026, including this initiative constitutional amendment that would bar new state taxes on personal property such as retirement accounts and financial assets while restricting retroactive taxes based on pre-enactment conduct or residency. Trader consensus hovers near even odds because the measure directly targets provisions in a separate billionaire wealth tax proposal, with the higher-vote rule determining which prevails if both pass. Recent qualification of multiple tax-related initiatives, ongoing legal debates over retroactivity, and voter divisions on revenue tools for state programs sustain the balance. Upcoming campaign spending, polling on wealth taxation, and any last-minute endorsements could shift probabilities before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
49% 確率
新規
新規
2026/11/03
はい
49% 確率
新規
新規
2026/11/03
Proposition 42 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would prevent retroactive taxes and new taxes on personal property, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).California voters face competing ballot measures in November 2026, including this initiative constitutional amendment that would bar new state taxes on personal property such as retirement accounts and financial assets while restricting retroactive taxes based on pre-enactment conduct or residency. Trader consensus hovers near even odds because the measure directly targets provisions in a separate billionaire wealth tax proposal, with the higher-vote rule determining which prevails if both pass. Recent qualification of multiple tax-related initiatives, ongoing legal debates over retroactivity, and voter divisions on revenue tools for state programs sustain the balance. Upcoming campaign spending, polling on wealth taxation, and any last-minute endorsements could shift probabilities before election day.
Proposition 42 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would prevent retroactive taxes and new taxes on personal property, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jul 1, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 6:25 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Proposition 42 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would prevent retroactive taxes and new taxes on personal property, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).California voters face competing ballot measures in November 2026, including this initiative constitutional amendment that would bar new state taxes on personal property such as retirement accounts and financial assets while restricting retroactive taxes based on pre-enactment conduct or residency. Trader consensus hovers near even odds because the measure directly targets provisions in a separate billionaire wealth tax proposal, with the higher-vote rule determining which prevails if both pass. Recent qualification of multiple tax-related initiatives, ongoing legal debates over retroactivity, and voter divisions on revenue tools for state programs sustain the balance. Upcoming campaign spending, polling on wealth taxation, and any last-minute endorsements could shift probabilities before election day.
Proposition 42 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would prevent retroactive taxes and new taxes on personal property, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
音量
$0終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 6:25 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...California voters face competing ballot measures in November 2026, including this initiative constitutional amendment that would bar new state taxes on personal property such as retirement accounts and financial assets while restricting retroactive taxes based on pre-enactment conduct or residency. Trader consensus hovers near even odds because the measure directly targets provisions in a separate billionaire wealth tax proposal, with the higher-vote rule determining which prevails if both pass. Recent qualification of multiple tax-related initiatives, ongoing legal debates over retroactivity, and voter divisions on revenue tools for state programs sustain the balance. Upcoming campaign spending, polling on wealth taxation, and any last-minute endorsements could shift probabilities before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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