Recent polling from BTG/Nexus, Datafolha, Quaest, and CNT/MDA has shown Augusto Cury stabilizing near 6% in first-round scenarios for Brazil’s October 4 presidential vote, after a sharp late-August surge to double digits driven by social media visibility and television exposure as an anti-polarization alternative. AtlasIntel placed him lower at 3.5%, while other candidates such as Renan Santos have narrowed the gap for third place. Cury’s campaign continues to target right-leaning voters and emphasize economic proposals, yet search interest and follower growth have slowed in the final weeks. These trends underpin trader pricing that places the highest probability on a 2-4% outcome, followed by 4-6%, reflecting uncertainty over whether support will hold or erode further before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2〜4％ 50%
4〜6％ 35%
6%以上 20%
1〜2％ 6%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
1%未満
4%
1〜2％
6%
2〜4％
50%
4〜6％
29%
6%以上
20%
2〜4％ 50%
4〜6％ 35%
6%以上 20%
1〜2％ 6%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
1%未満
$106 Vol.
4%
1〜2％
$602 Vol.
6%
2〜4％
$878 Vol.
50%
4〜6％
$742 Vol.
29%
6%以上
$7,319 Vol.
20%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Augusto Cury in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling from BTG/Nexus, Datafolha, Quaest, and CNT/MDA has shown Augusto Cury stabilizing near 6% in first-round scenarios for Brazil’s October 4 presidential vote, after a sharp late-August surge to double digits driven by social media visibility and television exposure as an anti-polarization alternative. AtlasIntel placed him lower at 3.5%, while other candidates such as Renan Santos have narrowed the gap for third place. Cury’s campaign continues to target right-leaning voters and emphasize economic proposals, yet search interest and follower growth have slowed in the final weeks. These trends underpin trader pricing that places the highest probability on a 2-4% outcome, followed by 4-6%, reflecting uncertainty over whether support will hold or erode further before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Augusto Cury in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Augusto Cury in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
マーケット開始日： Sep 15, 2026, 10:28 PM ET
音量
$9,646終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 10:28 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Augusto Cury in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling from BTG/Nexus, Datafolha, Quaest, and CNT/MDA has shown Augusto Cury stabilizing near 6% in first-round scenarios for Brazil’s October 4 presidential vote, after a sharp late-August surge to double digits driven by social media visibility and television exposure as an anti-polarization alternative. AtlasIntel placed him lower at 3.5%, while other candidates such as Renan Santos have narrowed the gap for third place. Cury’s campaign continues to target right-leaning voters and emphasize economic proposals, yet search interest and follower growth have slowed in the final weeks. These trends underpin trader pricing that places the highest probability on a 2-4% outcome, followed by 4-6%, reflecting uncertainty over whether support will hold or erode further before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Augusto Cury in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Augusto Cury in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$9,646終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 10:28 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from BTG/Nexus, Datafolha, Quaest, and CNT/MDA has shown Augusto Cury stabilizing near 6% in first-round scenarios for Brazil’s October 4 presidential vote, after a sharp late-August surge to double digits driven by social media visibility and television exposure as an anti-polarization alternative. AtlasIntel placed him lower at 3.5%, while other candidates such as Renan Santos have narrowed the gap for third place. Cury’s campaign continues to target right-leaning voters and emphasize economic proposals, yet search interest and follower growth have slowed in the final weeks. These trends underpin trader pricing that places the highest probability on a 2-4% outcome, followed by 4-6%, reflecting uncertainty over whether support will hold or erode further before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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