Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation, holds a commanding lead in the Paraíba gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent polling from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, AtlasIntel, and Anova consistently places him between 35% and 43%, well ahead of challengers Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL), who trail in the low-to-mid teens or below. His position reflects incumbency advantages, established alliances including PT support, family political networks, and active campaigning focused on health infrastructure expansion and public security measures. The market’s 78% consensus for Ribeiro reflects traders’ assessment of these structural and polling factors, while lower prices for Efraim Filho (16%) and Cícero Lucena (6.5%) align with their weaker statewide standing three weeks from voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ルーカス・リベイロ 78%
エフライム・フィリョ 16%
シセロ・ルセナ 7%
ニルヴァン・フェレイラ 1.3%
$61,874 Vol.
$61,874 Vol.
2026/10/04
ルーカス・リベイロ
78%
エフライム・フィリョ
16%
シセロ・ルセナ
7%
ニルヴァン・フェレイラ
1%
フラヴィオ・ルシオ
1%
ロメロ・ロドリゲス
1%
ヴェネツィアーノ・ヴィタル・ド・レーゴ
1%
マルセロ・ケイロガ
<1%
ルーカス・リベイロ 78%
エフライム・フィリョ 16%
シセロ・ルセナ 7%
ニルヴァン・フェレイラ 1.3%
$61,874 Vol.
$61,874 Vol.
2026/10/04
ルーカス・リベイロ
$18,333 Vol.
78%
エフライム・フィリョ
$14,166 Vol.
16%
シセロ・ルセナ
$20,448 Vol.
7%
ニルヴァン・フェレイラ
$861 Vol.
1%
フラヴィオ・ルシオ
$843 Vol.
1%
ロメロ・ロドリゲス
$1,478 Vol.
1%
ヴェネツィアーノ・ヴィタル・ド・レーゴ
$2,398 Vol.
1%
マルセロ・ケイロガ
$3,348 Vol.
<1%
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation, holds a commanding lead in the Paraíba gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent polling from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, AtlasIntel, and Anova consistently places him between 35% and 43%, well ahead of challengers Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL), who trail in the low-to-mid teens or below. His position reflects incumbency advantages, established alliances including PT support, family political networks, and active campaigning focused on health infrastructure expansion and public security measures. The market’s 78% consensus for Ribeiro reflects traders’ assessment of these structural and polling factors, while lower prices for Efraim Filho (16%) and Cícero Lucena (6.5%) align with their weaker statewide standing three weeks from voting.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
音量
$61,874終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation, holds a commanding lead in the Paraíba gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent polling from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, AtlasIntel, and Anova consistently places him between 35% and 43%, well ahead of challengers Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL), who trail in the low-to-mid teens or below. His position reflects incumbency advantages, established alliances including PT support, family political networks, and active campaigning focused on health infrastructure expansion and public security measures. The market’s 78% consensus for Ribeiro reflects traders’ assessment of these structural and polling factors, while lower prices for Efraim Filho (16%) and Cícero Lucena (6.5%) align with their weaker statewide standing three weeks from voting.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$61,874終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation, holds a commanding lead in the Paraíba gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent polling from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, AtlasIntel, and Anova consistently places him between 35% and 43%, well ahead of challengers Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL), who trail in the low-to-mid teens or below. His position reflects incumbency advantages, established alliances including PT support, family political networks, and active campaigning focused on health infrastructure expansion and public security measures. The market’s 78% consensus for Ribeiro reflects traders’ assessment of these structural and polling factors, while lower prices for Efraim Filho (16%) and Cícero Lucena (6.5%) align with their weaker statewide standing three weeks from voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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