Eli Crane maintains a clear lead in trader assessments for Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District, reflecting the seat’s Republican lean, his incumbency advantage, and consistent polling margins. Recent surveys, including an August GBAO poll showing Crane at 46% to Nez’s 44% and a Peak Insights survey at 53% to 42%, reinforce this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. The district carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index, and nonpartisan forecasters rate it Likely Republican. Nez, the former Navajo Nation president, benefits from strong support among the district’s sizable Native American population and overperformed the 2024 Democratic presidential ticket, yet fundraising and cash-on-hand gaps favor Crane. Both candidates advanced unopposed in July primaries, with limited new catalysts emerging since late August.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
イーライ・クレイン（共和党）
69%
ジョナサン・ネズ（民主党）
29%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
イーライ・クレイン（共和党）
$2,260 Vol.
69%
ジョナサン・ネズ（民主党）
$2,172 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Eli Crane maintains a clear lead in trader assessments for Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District, reflecting the seat’s Republican lean, his incumbency advantage, and consistent polling margins. Recent surveys, including an August GBAO poll showing Crane at 46% to Nez’s 44% and a Peak Insights survey at 53% to 42%, reinforce this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. The district carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index, and nonpartisan forecasters rate it Likely Republican. Nez, the former Navajo Nation president, benefits from strong support among the district’s sizable Native American population and overperformed the 2024 Democratic presidential ticket, yet fundraising and cash-on-hand gaps favor Crane. Both candidates advanced unopposed in July primaries, with limited new catalysts emerging since late August.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
音量
$4,432終了日
2026/11/05マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Eli Crane maintains a clear lead in trader assessments for Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District, reflecting the seat’s Republican lean, his incumbency advantage, and consistent polling margins. Recent surveys, including an August GBAO poll showing Crane at 46% to Nez’s 44% and a Peak Insights survey at 53% to 42%, reinforce this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. The district carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index, and nonpartisan forecasters rate it Likely Republican. Nez, the former Navajo Nation president, benefits from strong support among the district’s sizable Native American population and overperformed the 2024 Democratic presidential ticket, yet fundraising and cash-on-hand gaps favor Crane. Both candidates advanced unopposed in July primaries, with limited new catalysts emerging since late August.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$4,432終了日
2026/11/05マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Eli Crane maintains a clear lead in trader assessments for Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District, reflecting the seat’s Republican lean, his incumbency advantage, and consistent polling margins. Recent surveys, including an August GBAO poll showing Crane at 46% to Nez’s 44% and a Peak Insights survey at 53% to 42%, reinforce this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. The district carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index, and nonpartisan forecasters rate it Likely Republican. Nez, the former Navajo Nation president, benefits from strong support among the district’s sizable Native American population and overperformed the 2024 Democratic presidential ticket, yet fundraising and cash-on-hand gaps favor Crane. Both candidates advanced unopposed in July primaries, with limited new catalysts emerging since late August.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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