Incumbent Democratic Rep. Nellie Pou holds a commanding position in the NJ-09 House race due to her uncontested June primary win, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.6 million compared to Republican Rosie Pino’s roughly $438,000, and consistent ratings of Likely Democratic from major forecasters. The district’s long Democratic history, despite its narrower 2024 margin and Donald Trump’s narrow presidential win there, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Pino, a Clifton councilwoman who prevailed in a close GOP primary, benefits from the area’s modest rightward shift after 2021 redistricting and Bill Pascrell’s 2024 death, yet faces structural disadvantages in name recognition and resources ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts or national political swings could still influence the outcome in this battleground seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$24,589 Vol.
$24,589 Vol.
2026/11/03
ネリー・ポウ（民主党）
90%
ロージー・ピノ（共和党）
8%
$24,589 Vol.
$24,589 Vol.
2026/11/03
ネリー・ポウ（民主党）
$12,632 Vol.
90%
ロージー・ピノ（共和党）
$12,286 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Nellie Pou holds a commanding position in the NJ-09 House race due to her uncontested June primary win, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.6 million compared to Republican Rosie Pino’s roughly $438,000, and consistent ratings of Likely Democratic from major forecasters. The district’s long Democratic history, despite its narrower 2024 margin and Donald Trump’s narrow presidential win there, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Pino, a Clifton councilwoman who prevailed in a close GOP primary, benefits from the area’s modest rightward shift after 2021 redistricting and Bill Pascrell’s 2024 death, yet faces structural disadvantages in name recognition and resources ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts or national political swings could still influence the outcome in this battleground seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ET
音量
$24,589終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Nellie Pou holds a commanding position in the NJ-09 House race due to her uncontested June primary win, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.6 million compared to Republican Rosie Pino’s roughly $438,000, and consistent ratings of Likely Democratic from major forecasters. The district’s long Democratic history, despite its narrower 2024 margin and Donald Trump’s narrow presidential win there, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Pino, a Clifton councilwoman who prevailed in a close GOP primary, benefits from the area’s modest rightward shift after 2021 redistricting and Bill Pascrell’s 2024 death, yet faces structural disadvantages in name recognition and resources ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts or national political swings could still influence the outcome in this battleground seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$24,589終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Nellie Pou holds a commanding position in the NJ-09 House race due to her uncontested June primary win, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.6 million compared to Republican Rosie Pino’s roughly $438,000, and consistent ratings of Likely Democratic from major forecasters. The district’s long Democratic history, despite its narrower 2024 margin and Donald Trump’s narrow presidential win there, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Pino, a Clifton councilwoman who prevailed in a close GOP primary, benefits from the area’s modest rightward shift after 2021 redistricting and Bill Pascrell’s 2024 death, yet faces structural disadvantages in name recognition and resources ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts or national political swings could still influence the outcome in this battleground seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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