Arizona's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Yassamin Ansari secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the July 2026 primary, while Republican candidates face structural barriers in the majority-Latino district centered on downtown and western Phoenix. Limited polling and fundraising data underscore minimal competitive threat, aligning with the current trader consensus favoring Democratic victory. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or unexpected turnout changes, though historical patterns in comparable safe seats suggest these remain low-probability factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$52,732 Vol.
$52,732 Vol.
2026/11/02
ヤッサミン・アンサリ（民主党）
98%
共和党
<1%
$52,732 Vol.
$52,732 Vol.
2026/11/02
ヤッサミン・アンサリ（民主党）
$32,813 Vol.
98%
共和党
$19,919 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Yassamin Ansari secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the July 2026 primary, while Republican candidates face structural barriers in the majority-Latino district centered on downtown and western Phoenix. Limited polling and fundraising data underscore minimal competitive threat, aligning with the current trader consensus favoring Democratic victory. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or unexpected turnout changes, though historical patterns in comparable safe seats suggest these remain low-probability factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$52,732終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Yassamin Ansari secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the July 2026 primary, while Republican candidates face structural barriers in the majority-Latino district centered on downtown and western Phoenix. Limited polling and fundraising data underscore minimal competitive threat, aligning with the current trader consensus favoring Democratic victory. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or unexpected turnout changes, though historical patterns in comparable safe seats suggest these remain low-probability factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$52,732終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Yassamin Ansari secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the July 2026 primary, while Republican candidates face structural barriers in the majority-Latino district centered on downtown and western Phoenix. Limited polling and fundraising data underscore minimal competitive threat, aligning with the current trader consensus favoring Democratic victory. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or unexpected turnout changes, though historical patterns in comparable safe seats suggest these remain low-probability factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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