The redrawn Alabama 2nd congressional district, adjusted after Supreme Court rulings on the Voting Rights Act and implemented via a 2026 special legislative session, shifted the seat toward Republicans, with Donald Trump carrying it by double digits in 2024. This structural change underpins trader consensus favoring Republican nominee Rhett Marques at 66.5% over Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures at 34.5%. Marques secured the GOP nomination in the August 11 special primary with endorsements from President Trump and Senator Katie Britt, while recent Democratic internal polls from late August showed a statistical tie or narrow edge for Figures. Race raters classify the contest as Lean or Likely Republican, reflecting polling averages around a four-point Republican margin, fundraising parity, and Marques’ emphasis on local issues and Figures’ voting record in the closing weeks before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$44,614 Vol.
$44,614 Vol.
2026/11/02
レット・マーケス（共和党）
67%
ショマリ・フィギュアズ（民主党）
35%
$44,614 Vol.
$44,614 Vol.
2026/11/02
レット・マーケス（共和党）
$21,285 Vol.
67%
ショマリ・フィギュアズ（民主党）
$23,330 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The redrawn Alabama 2nd congressional district, adjusted after Supreme Court rulings on the Voting Rights Act and implemented via a 2026 special legislative session, shifted the seat toward Republicans, with Donald Trump carrying it by double digits in 2024. This structural change underpins trader consensus favoring Republican nominee Rhett Marques at 66.5% over Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures at 34.5%. Marques secured the GOP nomination in the August 11 special primary with endorsements from President Trump and Senator Katie Britt, while recent Democratic internal polls from late August showed a statistical tie or narrow edge for Figures. Race raters classify the contest as Lean or Likely Republican, reflecting polling averages around a four-point Republican margin, fundraising parity, and Marques’ emphasis on local issues and Figures’ voting record in the closing weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$44,614終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The redrawn Alabama 2nd congressional district, adjusted after Supreme Court rulings on the Voting Rights Act and implemented via a 2026 special legislative session, shifted the seat toward Republicans, with Donald Trump carrying it by double digits in 2024. This structural change underpins trader consensus favoring Republican nominee Rhett Marques at 66.5% over Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures at 34.5%. Marques secured the GOP nomination in the August 11 special primary with endorsements from President Trump and Senator Katie Britt, while recent Democratic internal polls from late August showed a statistical tie or narrow edge for Figures. Race raters classify the contest as Lean or Likely Republican, reflecting polling averages around a four-point Republican margin, fundraising parity, and Marques’ emphasis on local issues and Figures’ voting record in the closing weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$44,614終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...The redrawn Alabama 2nd congressional district, adjusted after Supreme Court rulings on the Voting Rights Act and implemented via a 2026 special legislative session, shifted the seat toward Republicans, with Donald Trump carrying it by double digits in 2024. This structural change underpins trader consensus favoring Republican nominee Rhett Marques at 66.5% over Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures at 34.5%. Marques secured the GOP nomination in the August 11 special primary with endorsements from President Trump and Senator Katie Britt, while recent Democratic internal polls from late August showed a statistical tie or narrow edge for Figures. Race raters classify the contest as Lean or Likely Republican, reflecting polling averages around a four-point Republican margin, fundraising parity, and Marques’ emphasis on local issues and Figures’ voting record in the closing weeks before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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