Recent geopolitical tensions, particularly the U.S.-Iran conflict elevating global energy prices, have driven the primary upward pressure on U.K. CPI inflation, with the annual rate rising to 2.9% in July 2026 from 2.6% in June. The Bank of England’s July Monetary Policy Report projects a near-term peak near 3.2% in 2026 Q4 due to direct and indirect energy pass-through, alongside food price contributions, before fading base effects support moderation. This dynamic creates closely matched trader sentiment between the 3.5–3.9% and 2.0–2.4% annual bands, as markets weigh risks of persistent second-round effects against underlying disinflation in goods and services. Key near-term catalysts include the August CPI release and upcoming MPC decisions amid elevated Treasury yields and monetary policy uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoU.K. Annual Inflation 2026
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
3.5–3.9% 27.4%
2.0–2.4% 24.6%
2.5–2.9% 11.5%
4.5%+ 8%
$91,241 Vol.
$91,241 Vol.
19 gen 2027
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–1.4%
3%
1.5–1.9%
6%
2.0–2.4%
25%
2.5–2.9%
11%
3.0–3.4%
-
3.5–3.9%
27%
4.0-4.4%
2%
4.5%+
8%
3.5–3.9% 27.4%
2.0–2.4% 24.6%
2.5–2.9% 11.5%
4.5%+ 8%
$91,241 Vol.
$91,241 Vol.
19 gen 2027
<1.0%
$945 Vol.
<1%
1.0–1.4%
$1,437 Vol.
3%
1.5–1.9%
$2,642 Vol.
6%
2.0–2.4%
$8,639 Vol.
25%
2.5–2.9%
$22,566 Vol.
11%
3.0–3.4%
$0 Vol.
-
3.5–3.9%
$37,547 Vol.
27%
4.0-4.4%
$8,462 Vol.
2%
4.5%+
$9,003 Vol.
8%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent geopolitical tensions, particularly the U.S.-Iran conflict elevating global energy prices, have driven the primary upward pressure on U.K. CPI inflation, with the annual rate rising to 2.9% in July 2026 from 2.6% in June. The Bank of England’s July Monetary Policy Report projects a near-term peak near 3.2% in 2026 Q4 due to direct and indirect energy pass-through, alongside food price contributions, before fading base effects support moderation. This dynamic creates closely matched trader sentiment between the 3.5–3.9% and 2.0–2.4% annual bands, as markets weigh risks of persistent second-round effects against underlying disinflation in goods and services. Key near-term catalysts include the August CPI release and upcoming MPC decisions amid elevated Treasury yields and monetary policy uncertainty.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Mercato aperto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Volume
$91,241Data di fine
20 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent geopolitical tensions, particularly the U.S.-Iran conflict elevating global energy prices, have driven the primary upward pressure on U.K. CPI inflation, with the annual rate rising to 2.9% in July 2026 from 2.6% in June. The Bank of England’s July Monetary Policy Report projects a near-term peak near 3.2% in 2026 Q4 due to direct and indirect energy pass-through, alongside food price contributions, before fading base effects support moderation. This dynamic creates closely matched trader sentiment between the 3.5–3.9% and 2.0–2.4% annual bands, as markets weigh risks of persistent second-round effects against underlying disinflation in goods and services. Key near-term catalysts include the August CPI release and upcoming MPC decisions amid elevated Treasury yields and monetary policy uncertainty.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Volume
$91,241Data di fine
20 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Recent geopolitical tensions, particularly the U.S.-Iran conflict elevating global energy prices, have driven the primary upward pressure on U.K. CPI inflation, with the annual rate rising to 2.9% in July 2026 from 2.6% in June. The Bank of England’s July Monetary Policy Report projects a near-term peak near 3.2% in 2026 Q4 due to direct and indirect energy pass-through, alongside food price contributions, before fading base effects support moderation. This dynamic creates closely matched trader sentiment between the 3.5–3.9% and 2.0–2.4% annual bands, as markets weigh risks of persistent second-round effects against underlying disinflation in goods and services. Key near-term catalysts include the August CPI release and upcoming MPC decisions amid elevated Treasury yields and monetary policy uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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