Recent August CPI data printed at 3.4% year-over-year with core rising 0.3% month-over-month—hotter than the 0.2% consensus—while the Cleveland Fed nowcast for September stands at 3.43%. Elevated gasoline and energy prices amid geopolitical supply pressures, alongside firmer services costs, support the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 3.5% and 3.6%. These outcomes reflect trader assessments of sticky shelter components and potential second-round effects, tempered by possible moderation in goods deflation. Upcoming September CPI release and FOMC communications will provide key signals for whether inflation reaccelerates or stabilizes near current levels.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato3,5% 30%
3,6% 29%
3,4% 19%
3,7% 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 ott 2026
≤2,9%
4%
3,0%
4%
3,1%
6%
3,2%
4%
3,3%
5%
3,4%
19%
3,5%
30%
3,6%
29%
3,7%
8%
3,8%
7%
3,9%
1%
≥4,0%
5%
3,5% 30%
3,6% 29%
3,4% 19%
3,7% 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 ott 2026
≤2,9%
$83 Vol.
4%
3,0%
$67 Vol.
4%
3,1%
$64 Vol.
6%
3,2%
$87 Vol.
4%
3,3%
$345 Vol.
5%
3,4%
$466 Vol.
19%
3,5%
$1,009 Vol.
30%
3,6%
$725 Vol.
29%
3,7%
$309 Vol.
8%
3,8%
$54 Vol.
7%
3,9%
$288 Vol.
1%
≥4,0%
$129 Vol.
5%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data printed at 3.4% year-over-year with core rising 0.3% month-over-month—hotter than the 0.2% consensus—while the Cleveland Fed nowcast for September stands at 3.43%. Elevated gasoline and energy prices amid geopolitical supply pressures, alongside firmer services costs, support the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 3.5% and 3.6%. These outcomes reflect trader assessments of sticky shelter components and potential second-round effects, tempered by possible moderation in goods deflation. Upcoming September CPI release and FOMC communications will provide key signals for whether inflation reaccelerates or stabilizes near current levels.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ET
Volume
$3,628Data di fine
15 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data printed at 3.4% year-over-year with core rising 0.3% month-over-month—hotter than the 0.2% consensus—while the Cleveland Fed nowcast for September stands at 3.43%. Elevated gasoline and energy prices amid geopolitical supply pressures, alongside firmer services costs, support the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 3.5% and 3.6%. These outcomes reflect trader assessments of sticky shelter components and potential second-round effects, tempered by possible moderation in goods deflation. Upcoming September CPI release and FOMC communications will provide key signals for whether inflation reaccelerates or stabilizes near current levels.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$3,628Data di fine
15 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent August CPI data printed at 3.4% year-over-year with core rising 0.3% month-over-month—hotter than the 0.2% consensus—while the Cleveland Fed nowcast for September stands at 3.43%. Elevated gasoline and energy prices amid geopolitical supply pressures, alongside firmer services costs, support the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 3.5% and 3.6%. These outcomes reflect trader assessments of sticky shelter components and potential second-round effects, tempered by possible moderation in goods deflation. Upcoming September CPI release and FOMC communications will provide key signals for whether inflation reaccelerates or stabilizes near current levels.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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