An open gubernatorial contest to replace term-limited Republican Bill Lee has lifted baseline expectations for total votes cast in the November 3 Tennessee election, pushing the 2 million to 2.2 million range into the lead among traders. At the same time, the solidly Republican U.S. Senate matchup between incumbent Bill Hagerty and Democrat Marquita Bradshaw caps broader mobilization in a state that typically ranks near the bottom nationally for participation. August primaries produced elevated early voting and localized Democratic strength in Shelby County linked to recent redistricting, yet these factors have not shifted the market decisively into higher or lower bins. The tight clustering around 1.8 million to 2.2 million reflects uncertainty over how much the governor’s race will expand the electorate versus the Senate contest’s limited ability to drive turnout. Additional early-voting reports or late campaign activity could widen the spread.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato2M-2.2M 38%
1.6M-1.8M 31.9%
1.8M-2M 29.4%
2.2M-2.4M 6%
<1.6M
1%
1.6M-1.8M
32%
1.8M-2M
26%
2M-2.2M
38%
2.2M-2.4M
6%
2.4M-2.6M
1%
2.6M+
3%
2M-2.2M 38%
1.6M-1.8M 31.9%
1.8M-2M 29.4%
2.2M-2.4M 6%
<1.6M
1%
1.6M-1.8M
32%
1.8M-2M
26%
2M-2.2M
38%
2.2M-2.4M
6%
2.4M-2.6M
1%
2.6M+
3%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...An open gubernatorial contest to replace term-limited Republican Bill Lee has lifted baseline expectations for total votes cast in the November 3 Tennessee election, pushing the 2 million to 2.2 million range into the lead among traders. At the same time, the solidly Republican U.S. Senate matchup between incumbent Bill Hagerty and Democrat Marquita Bradshaw caps broader mobilization in a state that typically ranks near the bottom nationally for participation. August primaries produced elevated early voting and localized Democratic strength in Shelby County linked to recent redistricting, yet these factors have not shifted the market decisively into higher or lower bins. The tight clustering around 1.8 million to 2.2 million reflects uncertainty over how much the governor’s race will expand the electorate versus the Senate contest’s limited ability to drive turnout. Additional early-voting reports or late campaign activity could widen the spread.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Il numero totale di voti espressi nelle elezioni di metà mandato del 2026 per il Senatore del Kentucky sarà compreso tra 1.300.000 e 1.400.000?
Il numero totale di voti espressi nelle elezioni di medio termine del 2026 per il Senatore della Carolina del Nord sarà compreso tra 3.900.000 e 4.100.000?
Il numero totale di voti espressi nelle elezioni di medio termine del 2026 per il Senatore dell'Arkansas sarà compreso tra 900.000 e 975.000?
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