Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding position in trader consensus for Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate seat because the state has not elected a Republican senator since 2002 and Democratic candidates have maintained consistent advantages in recent statewide contests. Flanagan secured the DFL nomination in August by defeating U.S. Rep. Angie Craig, consolidating support from the party’s progressive base and earning the endorsement of retiring Sen. Tina Smith. Michele Tafoya, the Republican nominee and former sports broadcaster, lacks prior elected experience and faces structural headwinds in a DFL-leaning electorate. Recent polling shows a narrow race, yet forecasters continue to rate the contest Likely Democratic. Scenarios that could shift odds include sustained focus on the state’s major fraud scandal eroding Democratic turnout, unusually high Republican mobilization, or late national political developments altering voter priorities before November 3.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$68,582 Vol.
$68,582 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
92%
Michele Tafoya (R)
9%
$68,582 Vol.
$68,582 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
$49,943 Vol.
92%
Michele Tafoya (R)
$18,639 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding position in trader consensus for Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate seat because the state has not elected a Republican senator since 2002 and Democratic candidates have maintained consistent advantages in recent statewide contests. Flanagan secured the DFL nomination in August by defeating U.S. Rep. Angie Craig, consolidating support from the party’s progressive base and earning the endorsement of retiring Sen. Tina Smith. Michele Tafoya, the Republican nominee and former sports broadcaster, lacks prior elected experience and faces structural headwinds in a DFL-leaning electorate. Recent polling shows a narrow race, yet forecasters continue to rate the contest Likely Democratic. Scenarios that could shift odds include sustained focus on the state’s major fraud scandal eroding Democratic turnout, unusually high Republican mobilization, or late national political developments altering voter priorities before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$68,582Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding position in trader consensus for Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate seat because the state has not elected a Republican senator since 2002 and Democratic candidates have maintained consistent advantages in recent statewide contests. Flanagan secured the DFL nomination in August by defeating U.S. Rep. Angie Craig, consolidating support from the party’s progressive base and earning the endorsement of retiring Sen. Tina Smith. Michele Tafoya, the Republican nominee and former sports broadcaster, lacks prior elected experience and faces structural headwinds in a DFL-leaning electorate. Recent polling shows a narrow race, yet forecasters continue to rate the contest Likely Democratic. Scenarios that could shift odds include sustained focus on the state’s major fraud scandal eroding Democratic turnout, unusually high Republican mobilization, or late national political developments altering voter priorities before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$68,582Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding position in trader consensus for Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate seat because the state has not elected a Republican senator since 2002 and Democratic candidates have maintained consistent advantages in recent statewide contests. Flanagan secured the DFL nomination in August by defeating U.S. Rep. Angie Craig, consolidating support from the party’s progressive base and earning the endorsement of retiring Sen. Tina Smith. Michele Tafoya, the Republican nominee and former sports broadcaster, lacks prior elected experience and faces structural headwinds in a DFL-leaning electorate. Recent polling shows a narrow race, yet forecasters continue to rate the contest Likely Democratic. Scenarios that could shift odds include sustained focus on the state’s major fraud scandal eroding Democratic turnout, unusually high Republican mobilization, or late national political developments altering voter priorities before November 3.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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