Rick Larsen’s long incumbency in Washington’s 2nd congressional district underpins the current trader consensus reflected in these odds. The district carries a Democratic Partisan Voter Index of D+12 and has supported Democratic presidential candidates and House incumbents by double-digit margins in recent cycles, including Larsen’s 63.8% share in 2024. After the August 2026 top-two primary, Larsen advanced comfortably ahead of Republican Edwin Feller, an 83-year-old first-time candidate with minimal reported fundraising. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments that could still shift probabilities include a major personal or ethical controversy involving the incumbent, a severe national partisan swing, or significant health-related developments before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWA-02 House Election Winner
WA-02 House Election Winner
$32,272 Vol.
$32,272 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Rick Larsen (D)
97%
Edwin Feller (R)
1%
$32,272 Vol.
$32,272 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Rick Larsen (D)
$13,157 Vol.
97%
Edwin Feller (R)
$19,115 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rick Larsen’s long incumbency in Washington’s 2nd congressional district underpins the current trader consensus reflected in these odds. The district carries a Democratic Partisan Voter Index of D+12 and has supported Democratic presidential candidates and House incumbents by double-digit margins in recent cycles, including Larsen’s 63.8% share in 2024. After the August 2026 top-two primary, Larsen advanced comfortably ahead of Republican Edwin Feller, an 83-year-old first-time candidate with minimal reported fundraising. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments that could still shift probabilities include a major personal or ethical controversy involving the incumbent, a severe national partisan swing, or significant health-related developments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$32,272Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rick Larsen’s long incumbency in Washington’s 2nd congressional district underpins the current trader consensus reflected in these odds. The district carries a Democratic Partisan Voter Index of D+12 and has supported Democratic presidential candidates and House incumbents by double-digit margins in recent cycles, including Larsen’s 63.8% share in 2024. After the August 2026 top-two primary, Larsen advanced comfortably ahead of Republican Edwin Feller, an 83-year-old first-time candidate with minimal reported fundraising. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments that could still shift probabilities include a major personal or ethical controversy involving the incumbent, a severe national partisan swing, or significant health-related developments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,272Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Rick Larsen’s long incumbency in Washington’s 2nd congressional district underpins the current trader consensus reflected in these odds. The district carries a Democratic Partisan Voter Index of D+12 and has supported Democratic presidential candidates and House incumbents by double-digit margins in recent cycles, including Larsen’s 63.8% share in 2024. After the August 2026 top-two primary, Larsen advanced comfortably ahead of Republican Edwin Feller, an 83-year-old first-time candidate with minimal reported fundraising. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments that could still shift probabilities include a major personal or ethical controversy involving the incumbent, a severe national partisan swing, or significant health-related developments before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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