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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato del Maine
Politica·Maine Midterm

Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato del Maine

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato del Maine
Politica·Maine Midterm

Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato del Maine

Polymarket

$1,340,360 Vol.

Polymarket

$1,340,360 Vol.

icon for Troy Jackson (D)

Troy Jackson (D)

$802,872 Vol.

71%

icon for Susan Collins (R)

Susan Collins (R)

$537,488 Vol.

30%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Troy Jackson leads Susan Collins in the 2026 Maine Senate race amid a closely contested contest shaped by recent polling and party dynamics.** Jackson secured the Democratic nomination at a July 2026 party convention after primary winner Graham Platner withdrew following sexual assault allegations he denied, allowing Jackson to consolidate progressive and union support rapidly. Multiple September polls, including CNN/SSRS and YouGov, show Jackson ahead by 2–4 points among likely voters, reflecting Maine’s Democratic lean from the 2024 presidential results and voter priorities on economic issues. Collins, the five-term Republican incumbent seeking a sixth term, maintains a significant fundraising edge and appeals to moderates and independents, but faces headwinds in a toss-up environment rated by outlets like Cook Political Report. Four October debates and Jackson’s ground-game focus could further influence the November 3 outcome, with traders pricing in the narrow but persistent polling edge for the Democrat.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$1,340,360
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET

Risolutore

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Troy Jackson leads Susan Collins in the 2026 Maine Senate race amid a closely contested contest shaped by recent polling and party dynamics.** Jackson secured the Democratic nomination at a July 2026 party convention after primary winner Graham Platner withdrew following sexual assault allegations he denied, allowing Jackson to consolidate progressive and union support rapidly. Multiple September polls, including CNN/SSRS and YouGov, show Jackson ahead by 2–4 points among likely voters, reflecting Maine’s Democratic lean from the 2024 presidential results and voter priorities on economic issues. Collins, the five-term Republican incumbent seeking a sixth term, maintains a significant fundraising edge and appeals to moderates and independents, but faces headwinds in a toss-up environment rated by outlets like Cook Political Report. Four October debates and Jackson’s ground-game focus could further influence the November 3 outcome, with traders pricing in the narrow but persistent polling edge for the Democrat.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$1,340,360
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET

Risolutore

0x2F5e3684c...

Correlati

icon for I Democratici vinceranno la corsa al Senato del Massachusetts nel 2026?

I Democratici vinceranno la corsa al Senato del Massachusetts nel 2026?

97%
Sì
icon for I Democratici vinceranno la corsa al Senato del Michigan nel 2026?

I Democratici vinceranno la corsa al Senato del Michigan nel 2026?

63%
Sì
icon for I Democratici vinceranno la corsa al Senato del New Hampshire nel 2026?

I Democratici vinceranno la corsa al Senato del New Hampshire nel 2026?

84%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato del Maine" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Troy Jackson (D)" a 71%, seguito da "Susan Collins (R)" a 30%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 71¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 71% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato del Maine" ha generato $1.3 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Oct 13, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato del Maine", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato del Maine" è "Troy Jackson (D)" a 71%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 71% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Susan Collins (R)" a 30%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato del Maine" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.