New York’s substantial Democratic voter enrollment edge and Kathy Hochul’s position as incumbent have anchored trader consensus around her reelection on November 3. Independent polls through August consistently showed her ahead by double digits statewide, supported by fundraising dominance, endorsements across the party spectrum, and policy emphasis on child care expansion and insurance costs. Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive, has improved name recognition and performed better in suburban and upstate samples in some campaign-commissioned surveys, yet trails significantly in New York City. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, sharp economic shifts, or unusually high turnout swings remain the primary factors that could narrow the current implied probability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di New York
Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di New York
$112,273 Vol.
$112,273 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Kathy Hochul (D)
95%
Bruce Blakeman (R)
6%
$112,273 Vol.
$112,273 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Kathy Hochul (D)
$49,697 Vol.
95%
Bruce Blakeman (R)
$62,575 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New York’s substantial Democratic voter enrollment edge and Kathy Hochul’s position as incumbent have anchored trader consensus around her reelection on November 3. Independent polls through August consistently showed her ahead by double digits statewide, supported by fundraising dominance, endorsements across the party spectrum, and policy emphasis on child care expansion and insurance costs. Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive, has improved name recognition and performed better in suburban and upstate samples in some campaign-commissioned surveys, yet trails significantly in New York City. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, sharp economic shifts, or unusually high turnout swings remain the primary factors that could narrow the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Volume
$112,273Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New York’s substantial Democratic voter enrollment edge and Kathy Hochul’s position as incumbent have anchored trader consensus around her reelection on November 3. Independent polls through August consistently showed her ahead by double digits statewide, supported by fundraising dominance, endorsements across the party spectrum, and policy emphasis on child care expansion and insurance costs. Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive, has improved name recognition and performed better in suburban and upstate samples in some campaign-commissioned surveys, yet trails significantly in New York City. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, sharp economic shifts, or unusually high turnout swings remain the primary factors that could narrow the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$112,273Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s substantial Democratic voter enrollment edge and Kathy Hochul’s position as incumbent have anchored trader consensus around her reelection on November 3. Independent polls through August consistently showed her ahead by double digits statewide, supported by fundraising dominance, endorsements across the party spectrum, and policy emphasis on child care expansion and insurance costs. Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive, has improved name recognition and performed better in suburban and upstate samples in some campaign-commissioned surveys, yet trails significantly in New York City. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, sharp economic shifts, or unusually high turnout swings remain the primary factors that could narrow the current implied probability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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