Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan's open Senate seat after a narrow August 4 primary victory over Rep. Haley Stevens, while former Rep. Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Recent statewide polls through early September show a toss-up, with El-Sayed holding small leads or statistical ties in most surveys amid strong Democratic performance among younger, college-educated, and Black voters and Rogers advantages with independents and non-college voters. Traders appear to weigh El-Sayed's fundraising edge, unified party support post-primary, and Michigan's historical Senate voting patterns against the state's 2024 presidential results, producing the current implied probabilities. Campaign attacks intensified in mid-September, including El-Sayed's criticism of Rogers' corporate ties, with the November 3 contest still two months away and subject to further polling shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del Senato del Michigan
Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato del Michigan
$709,294 Vol.
$709,294 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
63%
Mike Rogers (R)
37%
$709,294 Vol.
$709,294 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$391,348 Vol.
63%
Mike Rogers (R)
$317,947 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan's open Senate seat after a narrow August 4 primary victory over Rep. Haley Stevens, while former Rep. Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Recent statewide polls through early September show a toss-up, with El-Sayed holding small leads or statistical ties in most surveys amid strong Democratic performance among younger, college-educated, and Black voters and Rogers advantages with independents and non-college voters. Traders appear to weigh El-Sayed's fundraising edge, unified party support post-primary, and Michigan's historical Senate voting patterns against the state's 2024 presidential results, producing the current implied probabilities. Campaign attacks intensified in mid-September, including El-Sayed's criticism of Rogers' corporate ties, with the November 3 contest still two months away and subject to further polling shifts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$709,294Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan's open Senate seat after a narrow August 4 primary victory over Rep. Haley Stevens, while former Rep. Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Recent statewide polls through early September show a toss-up, with El-Sayed holding small leads or statistical ties in most surveys amid strong Democratic performance among younger, college-educated, and Black voters and Rogers advantages with independents and non-college voters. Traders appear to weigh El-Sayed's fundraising edge, unified party support post-primary, and Michigan's historical Senate voting patterns against the state's 2024 presidential results, producing the current implied probabilities. Campaign attacks intensified in mid-September, including El-Sayed's criticism of Rogers' corporate ties, with the November 3 contest still two months away and subject to further polling shifts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$709,294Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan's open Senate seat after a narrow August 4 primary victory over Rep. Haley Stevens, while former Rep. Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Recent statewide polls through early September show a toss-up, with El-Sayed holding small leads or statistical ties in most surveys amid strong Democratic performance among younger, college-educated, and Black voters and Rogers advantages with independents and non-college voters. Traders appear to weigh El-Sayed's fundraising edge, unified party support post-primary, and Michigan's historical Senate voting patterns against the state's 2024 presidential results, producing the current implied probabilities. Campaign attacks intensified in mid-September, including El-Sayed's criticism of Rogers' corporate ties, with the November 3 contest still two months away and subject to further polling shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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