Recent Central Weather Administration and model forecasts for Taipei indicate a low near 22–24°C on September 10 amid persistent showers and northeasterly flow, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 24°C and 22°C. A cooler-than-normal early-September pattern, highlighted by the station’s third-lowest September 6 average on record at 24°C, has kept overnight readings suppressed relative to the 24°C climatological September minimum. High humidity, cloud cover, and light rain further limit radiative cooling but maintain the narrow range traders favor, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum reported by the Taipei station. Updated model runs and any late-day clearing remain key variables.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Taipei il 10 settembre?
21°C 4%
23°C 3%
26°C 1.0%
19°C o inferiore <1%
19°C o inferiore
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
-
23°C
26%
24°C
72%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C o superiore
1%
21°C 4%
23°C 3%
26°C 1.0%
19°C o inferiore <1%
19°C o inferiore
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
-
23°C
26%
24°C
72%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C o superiore
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent Central Weather Administration and model forecasts for Taipei indicate a low near 22–24°C on September 10 amid persistent showers and northeasterly flow, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 24°C and 22°C. A cooler-than-normal early-September pattern, highlighted by the station’s third-lowest September 6 average on record at 24°C, has kept overnight readings suppressed relative to the 24°C climatological September minimum. High humidity, cloud cover, and light rain further limit radiative cooling but maintain the narrow range traders favor, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum reported by the Taipei station. Updated model runs and any late-day clearing remain key variables.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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