Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate overnight lows of 26–27°C on September 23, driven by the strengthening northeast monsoon advecting drier continental air across the South China Sea. This setup suppresses cloud cover and radiative cooling overnight while limiting daytime heating, producing a typical late-September diurnal range near 4–5°C. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no tropical cyclone influence or anomalous moisture surge expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Trader consensus at 51% for 27°C and 25% for 26°C aligns with these data, as any shift would require a revised HKO forecast or unexpected frontal passage.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 23 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 23 settembre?
27°C 52%
22°C o inferiore 31%
26°C 26%
24°C 22%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
31%
23°C
20%
24°C
22%
25°C
16%
26°C
26%
27°C
52%
28°C
18%
29°C
10%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C o superiore
1%
27°C 52%
22°C o inferiore 31%
26°C 26%
24°C 22%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
$89 Vol.
31%
23°C
$0 Vol.
20%
24°C
$0 Vol.
22%
25°C
$0 Vol.
16%
26°C
$0 Vol.
26%
27°C
$88 Vol.
52%
28°C
$0 Vol.
18%
29°C
$0 Vol.
10%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate overnight lows of 26–27°C on September 23, driven by the strengthening northeast monsoon advecting drier continental air across the South China Sea. This setup suppresses cloud cover and radiative cooling overnight while limiting daytime heating, producing a typical late-September diurnal range near 4–5°C. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no tropical cyclone influence or anomalous moisture surge expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Trader consensus at 51% for 27°C and 25% for 26°C aligns with these data, as any shift would require a revised HKO forecast or unexpected frontal passage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$177Data di fine
23 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate overnight lows of 26–27°C on September 23, driven by the strengthening northeast monsoon advecting drier continental air across the South China Sea. This setup suppresses cloud cover and radiative cooling overnight while limiting daytime heating, producing a typical late-September diurnal range near 4–5°C. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no tropical cyclone influence or anomalous moisture surge expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Trader consensus at 51% for 27°C and 25% for 26°C aligns with these data, as any shift would require a revised HKO forecast or unexpected frontal passage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$177Data di fine
23 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate overnight lows of 26–27°C on September 23, driven by the strengthening northeast monsoon advecting drier continental air across the South China Sea. This setup suppresses cloud cover and radiative cooling overnight while limiting daytime heating, producing a typical late-September diurnal range near 4–5°C. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no tropical cyclone influence or anomalous moisture surge expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Trader consensus at 51% for 27°C and 25% for 26°C aligns with these data, as any shift would require a revised HKO forecast or unexpected frontal passage.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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